Office of the President News

He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released

He leaves Argentina during his first term

He travels to Chile during his first term

He travels to Brazil during his first term

He is photographed with Elon Musk

A photo of him with Trump is released

A photo of Milei with Biden is released

His sister Karina holds an official public governmental position

Will he publicly shake hands with Lula?

Will Elon Musk post Milei's picture, real or meme form, as long as he's clearly identifiable?

Heritage.org economic freedom score will be at or above the world average [Argentina 51.0, world 59.3 in 2023]

Argentina will be at 63rd or better place in the good country index [63rd in 2023]

Argentina will finish in the top 2 in the 2026 world cup

Argentina will have improved its "corruption perceptions index" ranking [96th]; their score in 2023 was 38, higher score is better

His salary as president is legislatively raised or lowered

Argentina will be at or better than its 2023 US news "best country" rating of 39

Heritage.org economic freedom score will be 60 or above [51 in 2023]

Argentina will finish in the top 4 in the 2026 world cup

According to amnesty international, the poverty rate will go down [36.5% in 2022]

Annualized inflation rate relative to 2023 will be <30%

There are serious news reports that he is discussing working with Elon Musk on a major project such as a new city, or a Tesla factory, or a rocket base, etc.

He wins reelection to a 2nd term

Will Pope Francis or a new Pope visit?

The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16k USD [13700 in 2023]

The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16000 USD [13700 in 2023]

LLM Q2: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of term, when asked from the POV of various international media outlets, what average rating will they give him?

Argentina will have improved its "Sustainable Development Report" of 51st place

LLM Q1: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of his term rate his performance at >50%?

He travels to Bolivia

A sitting US President visits Argentina and is photographed with him

Victoria Villarruel leaves government and does not hold the office of vice president before end of term

Milei is revealed to not really be a Vegan (or just stops being Vegan)

He sells land to a non-argentinian individual or corporation with some promises of a level of sovereignty above what is normal

He leads Argentina to significantly begin cooperation with SpaceX

He goes incommunicado for at least a week

Will the organ trade be legalized? (significantly legalized compared to the rest of S.America suffices)

Argentina's population increases by more than 1%/year annualized til end of first term [historically, there has been approx 0.6% annual increase in the last 4 years]

Elon says the phrase or something similar, as a slogan or statement, or wears something with "VVLC", "Vive la libertad carajo" in english or spanish

He marries during his first term

He significantly changes his hairstyle during his first term

US Military gains any kind of base for at least 10 active duty military personnel within Argentina

He is impeached or removed in a process which is retroactively considered legal for at least a week

There is an assassination attempt resulting in shots fired

He successfully mediates the border dispute with Chile and completely solves it

Argentina's population ever decreases year over year during the first term

He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years

Will he ever be TIME person of the year?

He goes out of office for physical health-related reasons [independent health-related only; assassination, disappearance, quitting, or psychological reasons don't count]

He successfully dollarizes Argentina [i.e. most people use dollars most of the time]

The official borders of Argentina change during his term of office

Argentina accepts some kind of Cryptocurrency for payment of taxes or gov't fees

The Argentine peso will have been officially deprecated and not in legal use

He is jailed, emprisoned, or held in state control during what was his original planned term of office

Argentina will win the 2026 world cup

He changes the law such that he retains power longer than the usual 4 years without a new election

He travels to Russia during his first term

He is in a serious car or motorcycle crash

Will he abolish the central bank of Argentina?

He has a child during his first term

He is excommunicated by the catholic church

Argentina will declare war

He gets banned from Twitter [even momentarily]

He publicly resigns [whether real or coerced]

He is in a plane (or helicopter) crash

He passes away during his first term before completion

There is a military action in the Falklands/Malvinas which results in the death of at least 2 soldiers from any side

Argentina effectively controls the Falklands/Malvinas or part of them, for at least a week

He officially converts to Judaism

Will Argentina join BRICS?

Post a Tweet

Deny Climate Change

Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office

Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement

Bomb Iran

Increase US oil production

Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)

Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association

Enrich himself & his family financially

Shake hands with Putin

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

Reverse Biden's executive order on AI

Start a war

Have a net approval below -20% at any point

Play golf

Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office

Shake hands with Xi Jinping

Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)

Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore

Exercise

Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants

Attend at least one current state leader funeral

Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general

Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)

Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack

Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar

Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time

Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office

Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock

Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court

Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

Get impeached

Shake hands with Donald Tusk

Pardon himself

Withdraw support for Ukraine

Abolish the NIH

Abolish the CDC

Imprison his enemies and democrats

Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)

Shut down left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations

Attempt to stay in power for a third term

Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.

Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)

Order the US military to attack US citizens on US soil

End SBA direct lending

Leave office early

Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

Eat a hamnhrb

Reference "Situational Awareness"

Attempt or claim to seize direct military control of DC via the Insurrection Act, martial law, or similar

Be the subject of a successful invocation of the 25th amendment

Pardon SBF

Make America Great Again

Register with the Federal Election Commission to run for president

Make an executive order with the stated intention of slowing down AI development

Declassify the existence of non human intelligence.

Eliminate Daylight Savings Time

Instruct the military to fire on protesters with live bullets, leading to at least one death

Talk with Kim Jong Un face to face

Order the extrajudicial killing of a (named) US citizen on US soil

Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan

Die

Pass away

Ban TikTok

Withdraw the US from NATO

Order the extrajudicial killing of any federal or state elected official

Signs a bill that admits a new state to the Union.

Order a nuclear strike

Completely withdraw United States Forces Korea

Here's Johnny: Trump again appoints John Bolton to an official position in his administration.

Cry on camera

Be in some type of official captivity at any level before the end of the planned term in 2029

Direct the killing of a political opponent

Do another Home Alone cameo

Be removed via the 25th Amendment

Buy Greenland

Have over +20 net approval according to 538, at any point

YES

YES

Other

2027 Jul-Dec

2026 Jul-Dec

2027 Jan-Jun

2030 Jul-Dec

2028 Jan-Jun

2028 Jul-Dec

2030 Jan-Jun

2029 Jan-Jun

2029 Jul-Dec

2026 Jan-Jun

Before 1.1.2024

2024 Jan-Jun

2024 Jul-Dec

2025 Jan-Jun

YES

One Piece has ended

Putin no longer leader of Russia

Hasanabi retires from livestreaming

a tenth country is confirmed to have nuclear weapons

China-Taiwan conflict fully starts

MikeFromPA retires from livestreaming

Ukraine-Russia conflict is resolved

1500 or more official pokemon

Vaush retires from livestreaming

August retires / fired / is replaced as lead editor

Destiny dies

He gets married again

pickleball in the olympics

ukraine joins nato

Plays Rust on stream again

Human walks on the Moon again

Human walks on Mars

He has another child (or adopts one)

Streams on Twitch again

Chat GPT 8 has released

American elects its 50th president (with Biden being #46, no Cleveland-conscious counting)

Talks to a retired president

Playstation 7 has released

Bitcoin reaches $200K at least one time

Talks to a sitting president while they are serving in office

Someone has reached 2900 FIDE chess rating

Israel-Palestine conflict is resolved

NO

AfD minority government

Other

No minister president takes office, new elections instead

AfD + BSW coalition

CDU + SPD + Greens + Left + BSW coalition

AfD + CDU coalition

NO

YES

YES