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Prediction markets for Office
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.23%chance
267530391
OptionVotes
24428
6045
OptionProbability
71
17
3
3
2
2
1
1
OptionVotes
2134
469
Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?
Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
3.36%chance
5944351
OptionVotes
38965
7534
OptionProbability
86
4
3
2
2
2
2
OptionVotes
4816
208
OptionProbability
73
9
8
5
5
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18.01%chance
488728
OptionVotes
3302
2266
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.01%chance
515685
OptionVotes
1362
734
OptionVotes
1195
938
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.02%chance
384335
OptionVotes
2224
1817
Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41%chance
242790
OptionVotes
1200
834