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Top stories

Bolivia Central Bank Turns Local Gold Into US$3 Billion Dollar Lifeline

Natural Resources

Bolivia Central Bank Turns Local Gold Into US$3 Billion Dollar Lifeline

Authors

14

1 year ago

OAS Secretary General Albert Ramdin Presents August 20 Roadmap for Stability in Haiti Amid U.S. Military Deployment Near Venezuela

US Foreign Policy

OAS Secretary General Albert Ramdin Presents August 20 Roadmap for Stability in Haiti Amid U.S. Military Deployment Near Venezuela

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Organization of American States

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

7.29%chance

10515625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3566

280

Will Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?

Sep 2, 8:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

94.28%chance

255555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4058

246

Will the USA go in a civil war before 2030

Feb 26, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14%chance

211103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.57%chance

311019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

377

27

WW3 when?

Apr 28, 1:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11692

OptionProbability

2050-2051

2040-2041

2028-2029

2048-2049

2049-2050

2047-2048

2027-2028

2041-2042

2046-2047

2029-2030

2042-2043

2026-2027

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

2024-2025

2025-2026

23

7

6

6

6

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

0

0

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

86.64%chance

16674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

959

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.03%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

718

Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM

19.34%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

66

In 2050, will the World Health Organization state that vaping is safer than cigarettes?

Oct 27, 1:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6312

OptionProbability

The WHO will say e-cigarettes are safer.

The WHO will respond to the question evasively.

The WHO will not exist in 2050.

The WHO will not take any position on the question in 2050.

Other

The WHO will say conventional cigarettes are safer.

70

10

6

5

5

3

Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?

Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.17%chance

8193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Will any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?

Sep 10, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.26%chance

12169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

88

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