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Top stories

Jack Smith’s Lawyers Dismiss Hatch Act Inquiry as ‘Imaginary’

Jack Smith’s Lawyers Dismiss Hatch Act Inquiry as ‘Imaginary’

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for OSC

Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?

Feb 9, 3:48 PMDec 31, 10:01 PM

12.16%chance

10518506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2557

857

🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

6213596

OptionProbability

Other

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

UNRWA

Minnesota (or the People of Minnesota)

Pope Leo XIV

MSF / Doctors without Borders

Yulia Navalnaya

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Donald Trump

Netanyahu

International Court of Justice

Greta Thunberg

Narendra Modi

Nathan Law

Narges Mohammadi

duplicate - international Court of Justice

UNESCO

Philippe Lazzarini

Joe Biden

Alexei Navalny

Kyaw Moe Tun

José Andrés

World Uyghur Congress

Maria Corina Machado

Eliezer Yudkowsky

OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

Timnit Gebru

Elon Musk

NATO

JD Vance

AOC

Antonio Guterres

Julian Assange

David Attenborough

Pope Francis

Ursula von der Leyen

Keir Starmer

European Union

Ilham Tohti

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Jacinda Ardern

Raoni Metuktire

José Andrés

Loujain al-Hathloul

Ilwad Elman

Wa Lone

Yvonne Ridley

Hajer Sharief

Alexis Tsipras

Isaias Afwerki

Agnes Chow

Filippo Grandi

Yuan Longping

Mahbouba Seraj

Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

Juan Carlos Jintiach

Joshua Wong

Ernest Moniz

DOGE

Kamala Harris

Noam Chomsky

International Fact-Checking Network

Manifold Markets

Justin Trudeau

Vladimir Putin

Aleksandr Lukashenko

Sam Altman

Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

Kim Jong Un

Abdullah Öcalan

Daniel Sheehan

Robert Kennedy Jr

@Krantz

Gustavo Petro

The Iranian protesters

Peacekeepers

Jimmy Lai

Francesca Albanese

Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

Haitham bin Tariq Al Said

Any Kurdish person (or the Kurdish people

Shehbaz Sharif

19

18

10

9

9

8

6

5

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

OSCS stocks

Apr 10, 4:37 PM

255147

OptionProbability

NO

YES

121

102

Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?

Apr 8, 3:23 PMJan 8, 4:20 PM

27.3%chance

272345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1632

613

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?

Apr 26, 4:14 PMJan 14, 5:13 PM

47.8%chance

221601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

744

Best Actress Oscar is removed, renamed, or combined with Best Actor by mid 2034

Jun 30, 8:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

14.85%chance

81474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

418

Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?

May 18, 5:28 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

17.65%chance

61176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2160

463

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

33.6%chance

251137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

507

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

14.2%chance

20602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1556

845

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.43%chance

16281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

920

Will the Oscars loosen rules on AI tool use by 2030?

Jun 11, 9:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.36%chance

4129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

893

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Judiciary
Politics
Jack Smith’s Lawyers Dismiss Hatch Act Inquiry as ‘Imaginary’
Authors
10
1 year ago

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