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Prediction markets for Outlook
🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)
Mar 16, 12:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
362719
OptionProbability
94
88
85
85
78
73
73
71
69
67
63
62
62
60
59
55
54
54
48
48
48
46
44
44
43
41
41
39
38
37
36
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
29
29
27
27
27
27
15
9
Which Google or Microsoft Product still Exists even in January 2030
Sep 17, 6:31 AMJan 31, 6:29 PM
131635
OptionProbability
97
97
96
92
89
89
86
85
80
80
69
61
61
56
55
54
41
38
1
Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?
Jan 12, 2:57 AMJan 19, 7:59 AM
79.91%chance
211471
OptionVotes
2033
331
By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
Nov 26, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.06%chance
131356
OptionVotes
1361
735
OptionProbability
27
27
27
14
2
1
1
Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?
May 7, 9:29 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
33.16%chance
13890
OptionVotes
1336
767
OptionProbability
36
36
9
8
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
100
100
Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?
Dec 18, 3:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
8134
OptionVotes
195
178
Will Canadian GDP in 2030 be lower than the combined GDP of Australia and New Zealand?
Mar 14, 3:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM
37.26%chance
470
OptionVotes
130
77
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20