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Prediction markets for Oxford
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.55%chance
8250361
OptionVotes
28550
2982
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM
8819859
OptionProbability
98
97
88
82
82
82
78
75
65
63
62
57
54
51
51
51
40
21
19
OptionProbability
90
4
2
2
2
Will a majority of Shakespeare scholars be Oxfordians by 2030?
Oct 3, 7:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
10.08%chance
121222
OptionVotes
1591
801
What university will generate the highest number of new Nobel Laureate faculty between 2023 and 2033?
Jan 10, 7:06 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
6824
OptionProbability
79
14
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
When will the proposed Oxford UK flood alleviation scheme begin construction?
Oct 15, 12:22 AMDec 16, 11:59 PM
5800
OptionProbability
26
26
19
10
8
8
1
1
OptionProbability
95
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
64
7
6
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
May 22, 11:08 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM
3180
OptionProbability
55
55
47
46
45
When will Oxford Nanopore Technology release a commercial protein sequencing platform?
May 21, 6:51 PMApr 21, 6:47 PM
155
OptionProbability
66
66
66
66
66
59
50
50
OptionProbability
59
50
41
41
Will I like the New Oxford Annotated Bible Sixth Edition?
Jul 9, 6:12 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM
56.94%chance
318
OptionVotes
115
87
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