OptionProbability
Suella Braverman
Robert Jenrick
At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024
At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024
Katie Lam
Jacob Rees-Mogg
Liz Truss
Priti Patel
Dan Carden
100
89
58
54
39
36
20
13
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1967
1170
98
51
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