Peace Now News

YES

Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?

Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026

Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)

call someone retarded through text or speech

Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)

A literal red line on the ground/floor

complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela

Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.

repeal or reform the dietary guidelines

request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts

refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state

explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue

complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican

Causes Tina Peters' early release

new blockade of a country

pass 500 or more executive orders

put his name on a ship in the navy

have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally

resume buying oil from Russia

forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc

declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country

request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts

order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen

Stays alive

Revoke ten or more citizenships

issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future

ten or more protestors killed during term

request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts

sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries

File lawsuit against a congressperson

complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)

Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election

Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws

Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground

Dep

have a journalist arrested

call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician

Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)

Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes

closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)

Enforce the Comstock Act at least once

Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.

sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission

Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools

have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025

His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory

Raise the retirement age for social security

Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)

Nominate a family member to high office

have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason

Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson

Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture

get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia

Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025

Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)

Raise contribution limits (FEC)

add a new federal holiday in his honor

Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress

Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere

Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)

call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech

revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like

remove a major non NATO ally from the current list

Pardon a convicted pedophile

Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest

Enact price controls on groceries

Says 6 7 (or variant)

repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025

Add a citizenship question to the census

End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)

host putin at mar a lago

Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)

federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)

force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt

complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)

Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill

Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)

Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)

classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire

department of defense renamed to Dept of war

Pardon himself

Get rid of Noaa.

delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday

force a former president to testify before Congress

Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

appoint a family member to lead any federal agency

declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon

Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime

Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities

enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like

Causes derek chauvin's early release

Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)

Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)

Postpone the elections due to emergency

Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO

Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Pardon ghislaine maxwell

stops all sanctions on Russia

Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education

Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps

Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.

All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump

Withdraw from NATO

Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis

repeal Obamacare

pardon derek chauvin

admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely

Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms

debank a congressperson governor or mayor

announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA

expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new

Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025

Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency

cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason

Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons

actually disinter bodies from another country

Call for the end of child marriage

Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day

Attack a NATO ally.

Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS

Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906

change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again

orders arrests of any Biden family member

Annex any part of Mexico

Prosecute someone for flag burning

cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down

Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security

Prevent the VA from covering abortion services

Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation

Replace his Vice President

Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt

Announce he’s running for a third term

Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection

Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)

Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)

expand the borders of the usa

remove tax exempt from only certain religions

have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed

threaten to disinter bodies from another country

Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)

fauci in jail at least one week

take control of a part of ukraine

add a new state

pardon george santos

take state ownership in an airline

Call for the end of the House of Reps

Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990

changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)

take control of a part of greenland

ends black history month

Eliminate the DOE Loan Program

Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act

Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard

New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)

Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.

Call for the end of gay marriage

Fully or partially privatize Social Security

Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment

ban trans people from holding federal offices

make statements that are negative about labubu

confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself

Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment

breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza

fully nationalize an airline

Salute Putin

Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

stop California from hosting the Olympics

confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person

Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics

ban all new incoming students from china and/or india

Pardon p diddy

Implement a federal age of consent

Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.

change or add a face on Mount Rushmore

change the borders of a state

breaks ground on a trump building in Russia

Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war

repeal an amendment

declares a white history month

Implement a federal abortion ban

give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia

enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea

Call for the end of the Senate

all time high unemployment reached

Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture

Call for the end of interracial marriage

After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy

bans anime

bans 6 7

Wearing a white dress after labor day

Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system

Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC

Iran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Israel

Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resigns

Government official from Mexico attends the 2025 BRICS Summit

Iran - Israel War ends in 2025 (ceasefire last at least 90 days (September 22, 2025) or peace deal is signed)

A new non-majority Muslim (according to CIA Factbook) state becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

≥ 25 fatalities in Cambodia-Thailand border clashes

DRC & Rwanda sign USA-brokered peace agreement

≥ 1,500 Palestinians killed near Gaza aid hubs

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire in 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire before October 1, 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ceasefire is broken

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash reignites (fighting resumes)

Indonesia becomes a member of BRICS

World leader of 20m+ population country is assassinated

United States government arrests president Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela

India's 2026-2027 Defence Budget exceeds ₹7.5 lakh crore

Russia remains a permanent member of UN Security Council

Kim Jong Un remains General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea (or equivalent title)

Xi Jinping remains General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party

Benjamin Netanyahu alive as of April 31, 2026

Vladimir Putin remains President of Russia

Claudia Sheinbaum remains President of Mexico

United States troops enter Iran

Donald Trump remains President of USA

A new cease-fire between Iran and United States OR Israel is declared post Feb 28, 2026

An armed non-state group captures and holds the capital city of a UN-recognised state for ≥72 hours

Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President of Ukraine

China declares an air- or maritime-exclusion zone covering any part of Taiwan’s territorial sea or airspace

Ukraine - Russia War halted by Ceasefire

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba

Algeria becomes a member of BRICS

A cyber-attack officially attributed to a foreign state actor causes ≥US $1 billion in insured losses to a single country

At any point more than 5,000 USA National Guard Troops domestically deployed

Saudi Arabia prices oil exports to China in Yuan (CNY)

Autonomous lethal drones (no human on the kill-decision loop) are acknowledged by any state to have been used in combat

Min Aung Hlaing ceases to serve as either (a) Chairman of the State Administration Council or (b) Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces

Donald Trump and Iran work out a "deal" to cease hostilities (even temporarily)

123

The U.S. suffers ≥50 combat fatalities in a single new overseas operation—defined as a country where no U.S. combat deaths occurred in 2024

North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test

A 5th-generation fighter jet is confirmed to have been destroyed in air/shot down (not including being damaged from an airfield bombing)

A drone attacks a head of state (hits or lands within 30 meters)

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Iran

A country declares war on Israel

At least 5,000 uniformed personnel belonging to a UN-Security-Council-authorized security or peace-keeping mission are physically deployed in Haiti

Russia sells or scraps it's only aircraft carrier; the Admiral Kuznetsov

Nigeria becomes a member of BRICS

USA performs military action (troops/special forces deployed or airstrike/missile strike) in Mexico resulting in confirmed deaths

Hostile military action by United States against Cuba

Ukraine - Russia War ends with a peace treaty

Iran undergoes a regime change

Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister of Israel

A new ceasefire between Israel and Gaza is announced by Donald Trump

Russian armed forces intentionally attack uniformed personnel or sovereign assets of any NATO member state, or vice-versa

A peace treaty ending the Ethiopia–Tigray conflict is signed and remains unbroken for 90 days

Azerbaijan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations

A head of state from a G20 country is assassinated

North Korea provides missile(s) to Iran

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Europe

Kazakhstan becomes a member of BRICS

Izz al-Din al-Haddad remains leader of Hamas

Non-PSUV candidate inaugurated as next President of Venezuela

1+ deaths attributed to a rogue AI

Trump, Putin, & Zelensky meet together in the same room

An armed clash between India and Pakistan results in ≥100 military fatalities in a 7-day period

Vladimir Putin is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Any NATO country formally declares war on another country

Uniformed armed forces in any G20 member state attempt to seize executive power from the constitutional head of government

Saudi Arabia becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

160 UN Nations simultaneously officially regonize Palestine's statehood.

Any signatory of the CTBT tests a nuclear weapon

The IAEA publicly reports that Iran possesses uranium enriched to ≥90 % U-235

Syria becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United States

A country declares war on United States

A state shoot-down of a spacecraft or satellite in orbit is publicly confirmed

At least three sovereign states outside NATO, EU, ANZUS, or the Quad sign a formal mutual-defence treaty deposited with the UN Treaty Series

Any EU member invokes Article 42 (7) of the Treaty on European Union in response to an armed attack

Any country leaves NATO

Successful military coup in Venezuela

Japan launches a domestically-built intermediate-range ballistic missile (>3 000 km advertised range) test

Mexico becomes a member of BRICS

Bangladesh becomes a member of BRICS

China invades Taiwan

United States formally declares war on Iran

Sudanese Civil War ends

Iraq becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A vessel larger than 50,000 deadweight tons is damaged or sunk by a naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz

A leader of a country is tried and executed by a UN recognized state.

Libya becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

North Korea - South Korea results in any civilian deaths

China formally declares war on another country

Egypt formally declares war on another country

Iran loses territory

Azerbaijani troops enter Iran

A nation officially announces AGI has been achieved

The Arctic Council is formally suspended or dissolved by unanimous vote

Venezuela becomes a member of BRICS

China becomes militarily involved in Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash

An armed clash in the Shaksgam Valley between India & China resulting in ≥10 fatalities in a 7-day period

A country announces magnetic-fusion net-positive energy

Benjamin Netanyahu is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Armenia undergoes a regime change as the result of a military coup

Ukraine ceases to exist as a sovereign state

Israel loses territory

Iranian troops enter Israel

United Kingdom formally states intention to begin process to reverse "Brexit"

United Nations Security Council adopts (i.e., passes without veto) a formal resolution that explicitly condemns Israel’s use of lethal force against civilians seeking humanitarian aid in Gaza or demands Israel cease such force

Any hostile military forces are deployed on Israeli soil

USA leaves NATO

India's Prime Minister Modi steps down or announces a successor

Burj Khalifa destroyed via hostile action

Jordan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Canada

Palestine is granted full United Nations Membership

Bashar Al-Assad is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Chikungunya virus pandemic

United States formally declares war on another country

United States Military personnel deaths greater than or equal to 15 in Israel borders during 2026

Argentina becomes a member of BRICS

The Government of Denmark publicly acknowledges receipt of a formal written offer from Donald J. Trump or his officially empowered representatives to transfer sovereignty over Greenland to the United States

Any current G-20 member state ceases to be listed as a United Nations Member State

Qatar becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population

Ukraine becomes a formal NATO member

Israel annexes 100% of Gaza

Donald Trump is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Saudi Arabia signs a written, mutual-defence pact with China or Russia

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United Kingdom

Israel conducts military operation in Cyprus

Lebanon becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major News sources consistently identify a conflict as WWIII

Kim Jong Un is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Iran becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Two states engage in a nuclear exchange (both attempt to deliver a nuclear device within the borders of the other)

Israel annexes any portion of Iran

Any United States of America state formally states intent to begin process to secede

Any Canadian territory becomes part of US territory

Whole of Greenland becomes USA territory

Alberta begins process of becoming a USA state

Any US territory comes under Canadian administration

Extraterrestrials making contact with earth is widely acknowledged

Humans will extinct

China sanctioned by US + Europe

Taiwan blockaded before invasion

Japan allows use of airbases

CCP in power in 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

Oil shortages in South Korea or Japan

CCP in power in 2050 [IF INVADE]

Japan attacked by Chinese

China attacks Japan

Malacca Strait blockaded

Guam attacked by Chinese

Oil shortages in China

US destroys TSMC factories

US military intervention

Japanese military intervention

Taiwan surrenders

Malacca Strait blockaded > 1 month

Philippines allows use of airbases

Philippines attacked by Chinese

US combat troops in Taiwan

US aircraft carrier sunk

Chinese mainland bombed

Chinese warships sunk by US airforce

Food shortages in China

South Korea allows use of airbases

South Korean military intervention

Chinese warships sunk by US submarine

European military intervention

Indian military intervention

China attacks South Korea

Malacca Strait blockaded > 12 months

Peaceful unification by 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

Tactical nuclear weapon used

Post a Tweet

Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement

Bomb Iran

Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)

Enrich himself & his family financially

Shake hands with Putin

Reverse Biden's executive order on AI

Play golf

Shake hands with Xi Jinping

Deny Climate Change

Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office

Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office

Increase US oil production

Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time

Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court

Attend at least one current state leader funeral

Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general

Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar

Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack

Shake hands with Donald Tusk

Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants

Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock

Exercise

Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)

Withdraw support for Ukraine

Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office

Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)

Get impeached

Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore

Have a net approval below -20% at any point

Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association

Pardon himself

Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

Eliminate Daylight Savings Time

Start a war

Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.

Be the subject of a successful invocation of the 25th amendment

Reference "Situational Awareness"

Leave office early

Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)

Order the US military to attack US citizens on US soil

End SBA direct lending

Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan

Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

Eat a hamnhrb

Pass away

Die

Order the extrajudicial killing of a (named) US citizen on US soil

Pardon SBF

Attempt to stay in power for a third term

Make America Great Again

Talk with Kim Jong Un face to face

Register with the Federal Election Commission to run for president

Declassify the existence of non human intelligence.

Instruct the military to fire on protesters with live bullets, leading to at least one death

Make an executive order with the stated intention of slowing down AI development

Signs a bill that admits a new state to the Union.

Ban TikTok

Withdraw the US from NATO

Here's Johnny: Trump again appoints John Bolton to an official position in his administration.

Order the extrajudicial killing of any federal or state elected official

Completely withdraw United States Forces Korea

Cry on camera

Be in some type of official captivity at any level before the end of the planned term in 2029

Have over +20 net approval according to 538, at any point

Direct the killing of a political opponent

Order a nuclear strike

Be removed via the 25th Amendment

Do another Home Alone cameo

Buy Greenland

US sends at least $10B of arms to Taiwan

GDP per capita still >2x China in 2050

Successful invasion by PRC

Military conflict with PRC involving at least 1 million deaths on each side

Unsuccessful invasion by PRC

Formal diplomatic relations with the US

Taiwan elects pro-unification government

Formal diplomatic relations with any country that simultaneously has formal diplomatic relations with the PRC for at least 1 month

Officially joining the UN

Peaceful unification with PRC

Taiwan acquires nuclear weapons

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population expelled/killed

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population moderately repressed

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population mostly not repressed

Other

In active armed conflict

Independent state recognized by relevant parties

Part of Armenia recognized by relevant parties

Under foreign or international control / protection

Contested, under pressure by (some of) its neighbors

Cocaine

Newscum

Defund the police

Golden Age

Jesus Christ

Third term

Massive fraud

Ghislaine

Election interference

Pussy (or variant)

Fish

Cock (or variant)

Shit (or variant)

Feckless

Be cool

Shithole (or variant)

World War 3 or WW3 (or any other variant)

Nuclear fusion

25th Amendment (or twenty fifth amendment or any other variant)

Failed state

Fuck (or variant)

Eswatini

Drake

“Sabrina” or “Carpenter”

Jew hater or Jew haters

Meth

Fifth Column (or any variation)

Trans agenda

Penis (or variant)

Moist

Peace president

Divorce

Delve

Republic of America

Krantz does not hire Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and both Krantz and Sheehan win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and Sheehan (but not Krantz) wins the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and Krantz (but not Sheehan) wins the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

There is no 2026 FIFA World Peace Prize

Other

Mohammed bin Salman al Saud

Cristiano Ronaldo

Donald Trump

Completion (Status Quo): Finishes term; no major political victories or failures occur.

Completion + Political Prosecution: Finishes term and a high-profile political opponent is convicted or imprisoned before January 1, 2030.

Completion + Charter Change (Cha-Cha): Finishes term and the Constitution is successfully amended/ratified.

Completion + Popularity Surge: Finishes term and his final net approval rating is above 60%.

Completion + Geopolitical Victory: Finishes term and achieves a formal, diplomatic, or legal victory in the West Philippine Sea.

Completion + Succession Path: Finishes term and a key member of the Marcos-Romualdez bloc is elected to the Vice Presidency or Senate Presidency by June 30, 2028.

Completion + External War/Victory: Finishes term and successfully navigates a short, decisive external conflict, resulting in a clear geopolitical victory by June 2028.

Completion + Internal Stabilization: Finishes term and achieves a definitive peace agreement or complete military defeat of all major internal insurgency groups by June 2028.

Completion + AI Governance Success: Finishes term and the Philippines becomes an internationally recognized leader in AI governance or ethical adoption, significantly attracting foreign investment by June 2028.

Completion + AI Economic Boom: Finishes term and the economic boost from AI integration (as a percentage of GDP growth) demonstrably meets or exceeds the most optimistic projections (e.g., $92 Billion estimate) by the end of his term.

Removal by Impeachment (Corruption): Term ends due to being successfully convicted on grounds of Graft and Corruption.

Removal by Impeachment (Betrayal of Trust): Term ends due to being successfully convicted on grounds of Betrayal of Public Trust.

Removal by People Power / Junta: Term ends due to a successful People Power mobilization or a military coup/junta.

Removal by Supreme Court: Term ends via a Supreme Court ruling (e.g., a successful quo warranto petition) that invalidates his election or eligibility.

Removal by Death, Disability, or Resignation: Term ends due to health reasons or voluntary resignation.

Removal by Secession / Government Collapse: Term is rendered invalid due to the successful secession of a major region (e.g., Mindanao).

Removal by External War/Loss: Term ends early due to a major external conflict (e.g., WPS conflict) that leads to significant political destabilization and his removal.

Removal by Internal War/Chaos: Term ends early due to a major internal civil conflict or renewed, large-scale insurgency.

Removal by AI Disinformation Crisis: Term ends early due to a widespread, uncontained AI-driven disinformation crisis (e.g., deepfake scandals) that completely erodes public trust and leads to institutional failure and early removal.

Removal by AI Job Disruption: Term ends early due to massive, immediate job displacement from rapid AI automation, leading to widespread social unrest, economic collapse, and his removal.

Extension by Con-Ass: 8-Year Term Congress (Con-Ass) amends the Constitution to change the single 6-year term to a single 8-year term.

Extension by Con-Con: Parliamentary Shift Constitutional Convention changes the system to Parliamentary, making the incumbent Prime Minister with a flexible term.

Extension by Federalism Transitional Clause: A new Federal Constitution is passed, with a clause designating the incumbent as the Transitional President for two additional years.

Extension by SC Rules on Term Interruption: The Supreme Court rules that the current term was interrupted by a crisis, legally restarting the 6-year clock.

Extension by Legislative Deferment of Polls: Congress passes a simple law postponing the 2028 election due to logistics or calamity.

Extension by Emergency Declaration: The President declares a severe National Emergency (non-war) and Congress concurs, suspending the election.

Extension by New Statutory Office Creation: Congress creates a powerful new, non-constitutional role (e.g., Chief Development Officer) with a long statutory term for the incumbent.

Extension by Succession Incapacit Legal/political chaos incapacitates all legal successors (VP, etc.), forcing the incumbent to hold over.

Extension by Election Invalidation: A court ruling or technicality voids the 2028 election, forcing the incumbent to remain until a valid re-run.

Extension by Cabinet Appointment: The incumbent resigns, the successor is sworn in, and immediately appoints the former President to a powerful, unelected executive post that maintains command.