Peace Now News

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Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?

Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026

Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?

Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)

China sanctioned by US + Europe

Taiwan blockaded before invasion

CCP in power in 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

Oil shortages in South Korea or Japan

CCP in power in 2050 [IF INVADE]

Japan attacked by Chinese

Japan allows use of airbases

Malacca Strait blockaded

Guam attacked by Chinese

Oil shortages in China

US destroys TSMC factories

Taiwan surrenders

Food shortages in China

China attacks Japan

Japanese military intervention

Malacca Strait blockaded > 1 month

US military intervention

Philippines attacked by Chinese

US combat troops in Taiwan

US aircraft carrier sunk

Philippines allows use of airbases

South Korea allows use of airbases

South Korean military intervention

Malacca Strait blockaded > 12 months

Chinese mainland bombed

Chinese warships sunk by US submarine

Peaceful unification by 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

European military intervention

Indian military intervention

Chinese warships sunk by US airforce

China attacks South Korea

Tactical nuclear weapon used

Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)

pass 500 or more executive orders

A literal red line on the ground/floor

complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts

Stays alive

Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws

repeal or reform the dietary guidelines

forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc

intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican

explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue

request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts

admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely

request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts

Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.

Revoke ten or more citizenships

Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025

Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.

complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Pardon himself

File lawsuit against a congressperson

have a journalist arrested

have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally

refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state

repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025

Enforce the Comstock Act at least once

Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)

sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries

new blockade of a country

Prosecute someone for flag burning

Pardon a convicted pedophile

Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest

complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen

Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground

resume buying oil from Russia

declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country

Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)

call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician

Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard

call someone retarded through text or speech

closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)

Dep

Nominate a family member to high office

Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress

have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025

revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like

put his name on a ship in the navy

Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election

remove a major non NATO ally from the current list

His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory

Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture

Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)

force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt

Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO

repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)

Announce he’s running for a third term

Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)

Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)

Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson

ten or more protestors killed during term

Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill

Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)

Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025

Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation

Causes Tina Peters' early release

classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire

Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education

Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis

Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security

federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)

End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)

Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.

Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech

Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps

Pardon p diddy

Add a citizenship question to the census

Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons

Raise contribution limits (FEC)

take state ownership in an airline

Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)

department of defense renamed to Dept of war

Pardon ghislaine maxwell

Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities

Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

Prevent the VA from covering abortion services

remove tax exempt from only certain religions

get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia

Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)

appoint a family member to lead any federal agency

enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like

Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation

Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

ban all new incoming students from china and/or india

Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)

threaten to disinter bodies from another country

Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990

Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection

Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA

Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere

Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime

sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission

Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC

confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself

Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)

add a new federal holiday in his honor

take control of a part of ukraine

debank a congressperson governor or mayor

announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA

Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment

change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again

Replace his Vice President

stops all sanctions on Russia

Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency

force a former president to testify before Congress

Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)

expand the borders of the usa

breaks ground on a trump building in Russia

repeal Obamacare

New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)

actually disinter bodies from another country

Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day

Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906

Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act

orders arrests of any Biden family member

repeal an amendment

Enact price controls on groceries

expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new

declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon

host putin at mar a lago

make statements that are negative about labubu

complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down

take control of a part of greenland

have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed

declares a white history month

ends black history month

all time high unemployment reached

Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.

confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person

After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy

have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason

changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)

Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt

Implement a federal age of consent

Eliminate the DOE Loan Program

Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture

stop California from hosting the Olympics

Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment

Causes derek chauvin's early release

fully nationalize an airline

Says 6 7 (or variant)

delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday

issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future

pardon derek chauvin

Raise the retirement age for social security

breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza

Salute Putin

Withdraw from NATO

Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Call for the end of child marriage

Call for the end of gay marriage

Fully or partially privatize Social Security

change or add a face on Mount Rushmore

Annex any part of Mexico

change the borders of a state

add a new state

Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war

federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms

Call for the end of the House of Reps

Call for the end of the Senate

give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia

Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system

cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason

fauci in jail at least one week

enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea

ban trans people from holding federal offices

Implement a federal abortion ban

bans anime

Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace

Call for the end of interracial marriage

Wearing a white dress after labor day

bans 6 7

Taylor Swift dies

The Winds of Winter (Game of Thrones 6th Novel) is Published

Taylor Swift dates somebody who does not identify as a man

A woman is president of the United States

A United States presidential candidate endorsed by Taylor Swift gets elected

Puerto Rico becomes a (US) State

Taylor Swift goes to Space

China full-scale invades Taiwan

Taylor Swift performs at the Super Bowl

Reputation (TV) is released

Cannabis is Federally Legalized

Taylor Swift releases her "Taylor Swift" album rerecord

Nate Silver wins a WSOP Bracelet

Travis Kelce wins a fourth Super Bowl

A Non-QB wins the NFL MVP award

King Charles III ceases to be the King of the UK (or England, if the UK is broken up)

Songs on Midnights reach 20 Billion total streams

Taylor Swift does not have a live performance for a period of at least 2 years

Obergefell is effectively overturned by the Supreme Court

Steven "Destiny" Kenneth Bonnell II gets remarried

GameStop files for Bankruptcy

The UN has a new member state

Destiny is unbanned from Twitch

There is an official Russia Ukraine peace treaty

Any United States current or former president dies (after Jimmy Carter)

The Carolina Panthers clinch a playoff berth

Nine months prior to the birth of Taylor Swift’s first child

The Buffalo Bills beat the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs

Steven "Destiny" Kenneth Bonnell II appears on "The Joe Rogan Experience"

Travis Kelce Retires From the NFL

A Supreme Court justice dies or announces retirement

The United States reports a Recession

Songs on The Tortured Poets Department reach 10 Billion total streams

A major Philadelphia sports team (NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB) wins a championship

Jimmy Carter Dies

The Same Party Controls the U.S. House, Senate and Presidency

Taylor Swift releases 2 new (non-rerecord) albums

Taylor Swift gets engaged

Taylor Swift attends a Super Bowl won by the Kansas City Chiefs

Pope Francis ceases to be Pope

Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube

Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

Bitcoin reaches 200K usd or more

trump is impeached by either house OR senate

Hades 3 announced (game)

English Wikipedia reaches 70M PAGES or more

Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or more

windows 12 announcement is made

this market reaches 100 traders

undersea cables reported cut around taiwan

this market reaches 5k individual TRADES

Saw XI Releases in USA

stripe ipo happens

another trump assassination attempt

Legally Blonde 3 release date announced

a second cybertruck explodes (intended or unintended) that makes the news

the "500 poll" reaches its target goal of 500 responses

chinese spy balloon incident reported on news

openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo

alan greenspan passes away

israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will

manifold raises more money

discord IPO happens

trump removes a cabinet member

someone reaches 100k traders on creator leaderboard

noam chomsky passes away

Imu face reveal in One Piece manga

onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube

Skibidi Toilet ends their original series

GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86

Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 75M views on Youtube

Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users

fourth Knives Out movie announced

EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26

EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27

zootopia 2 releases

Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape

Spacex launches 150th rocket of the year

Cy Young award winner announced

MLB rookie of the year announced

Last game of the MLB World Series ends

EOD Halloween - Oct 31

First game of the MLB World Series starts

coup in an african country

2025 nobel peace prize winner announced

Third dune movie officially announced

EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9

Bitcoin reaches 125K usd or more

the third Atlantic hurricane of the season

the second Atlantic hurricane of the season

Skate 4 releases

trump starts mass deportations

Taylor Swift announce engagement or marriage

the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

Spacex launches 100th rocket in one year

Chat GPT 5 releases to the general userbase

Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse release date announced

Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher somewhere in the world

Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world

Killing Floor 3 releases on Steam

grok4 release date

the start of Amazon Prime Day(s) 2025

EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4

the third Pacific hurricane of the season

28 years Later releases in USA

the second Pacific hurricane of the season

chime IPO happens

Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year

First Apple Event of the year

the first Pacific hurricane of the season

manifest 2025 ends

Manifest 2025 starts

Mr Beast hits 400M Youtube Subscribers

Bitcoin reaches 110K usd or more

English Wikipedia reaches 7M ARTICLES or more

claude 4 sonnet releases (or later version)

EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5

Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year

Last day of the NFL draft

Llama 4 released to the general userbase

Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video

south korean president removed from power

the first Solar eclipse of the year

First Nintendo direct of the year

trump declares war or orders military actions on another country

Ukraine and Russia announce any ceasefire

EOD Ides of March - Mar 15

the first Lunar eclipse of the year

EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras

trump enacts new or changed tariffs on mexico

new iphone releases in the USA (official date)

Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year

new iphone release date announced (in the USA)

grok 3 release date

nintendo switch successor announced officially

trump enacts new or changed tariffs on china

CGP Grey releases a new video (not a reupload)

doomsday clock announcement

USA President issues 10th executive order

USA President issues 1st executive order

Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

No peace, no Nobel

Peace but no Nobel

Peace and Nobel

US sends at least $10B of arms to Taiwan

GDP per capita still >2x China in 2050

Successful invasion by PRC

Military conflict with PRC involving at least 1 million deaths on each side

Unsuccessful invasion by PRC

Formal diplomatic relations with the US

Taiwan elects pro-unification government

Formal diplomatic relations with any country that simultaneously has formal diplomatic relations with the PRC for at least 1 month

Officially joining the UN

Peaceful unification with PRC

Taiwan acquires nuclear weapons

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population expelled/killed

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population moderately repressed

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population mostly not repressed

Other

In active armed conflict

Independent state recognized by relevant parties

Part of Armenia recognized by relevant parties

Under foreign or international control / protection

Contested, under pressure by (some of) its neighbors

Other

United Nations

World Health Organization

International Red Cross

World Wildlife Fund

Greenpeace

United Nations Environment Programme

United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF)

World Food Programme

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN)

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)

United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat)

United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)

United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women)

United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund (UNICEF)

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

World Bank

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office on Sport for Development and Peace (UNOSDP)

United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA)

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP)

United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation (UNOSSC)

United Nations Office for Sustainable Development (UNOSD)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA)

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP)

United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation (UNOSSC)

United Nations Office for Sustainable Development (UNOSD)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

Completion (Status Quo): Finishes term; no major political victories or failures occur.

Completion + Political Prosecution: Finishes term and a high-profile political opponent is convicted or imprisoned before January 1, 2030.

Completion + Charter Change (Cha-Cha): Finishes term and the Constitution is successfully amended/ratified.

Completion + Popularity Surge: Finishes term and his final net approval rating is above 60%.

Completion + Geopolitical Victory: Finishes term and achieves a formal, diplomatic, or legal victory in the West Philippine Sea.

Completion + Succession Path: Finishes term and a key member of the Marcos-Romualdez bloc is elected to the Vice Presidency or Senate Presidency by June 30, 2028.

Completion + External War/Victory: Finishes term and successfully navigates a short, decisive external conflict, resulting in a clear geopolitical victory by June 2028.

Completion + Internal Stabilization: Finishes term and achieves a definitive peace agreement or complete military defeat of all major internal insurgency groups by June 2028.

Completion + AI Governance Success: Finishes term and the Philippines becomes an internationally recognized leader in AI governance or ethical adoption, significantly attracting foreign investment by June 2028.

Completion + AI Economic Boom: Finishes term and the economic boost from AI integration (as a percentage of GDP growth) demonstrably meets or exceeds the most optimistic projections (e.g., $92 Billion estimate) by the end of his term.

Removal by Impeachment (Corruption): Term ends due to being successfully convicted on grounds of Graft and Corruption.

Removal by Impeachment (Betrayal of Trust): Term ends due to being successfully convicted on grounds of Betrayal of Public Trust.

Removal by People Power / Junta: Term ends due to a successful People Power mobilization or a military coup/junta.

Removal by Supreme Court: Term ends via a Supreme Court ruling (e.g., a successful quo warranto petition) that invalidates his election or eligibility.

Removal by Death, Disability, or Resignation: Term ends due to health reasons or voluntary resignation.

Removal by Secession / Government Collapse: Term is rendered invalid due to the successful secession of a major region (e.g., Mindanao).

Removal by External War/Loss: Term ends early due to a major external conflict (e.g., WPS conflict) that leads to significant political destabilization and his removal.

Removal by Internal War/Chaos: Term ends early due to a major internal civil conflict or renewed, large-scale insurgency.

Removal by AI Disinformation Crisis: Term ends early due to a widespread, uncontained AI-driven disinformation crisis (e.g., deepfake scandals) that completely erodes public trust and leads to institutional failure and early removal.

Removal by AI Job Disruption: Term ends early due to massive, immediate job displacement from rapid AI automation, leading to widespread social unrest, economic collapse, and his removal.

Extension by Con-Ass: 8-Year Term Congress (Con-Ass) amends the Constitution to change the single 6-year term to a single 8-year term.

Extension by Con-Con: Parliamentary Shift Constitutional Convention changes the system to Parliamentary, making the incumbent Prime Minister with a flexible term.

Extension by Federalism Transitional Clause: A new Federal Constitution is passed, with a clause designating the incumbent as the Transitional President for two additional years.

Extension by SC Rules on Term Interruption: The Supreme Court rules that the current term was interrupted by a crisis, legally restarting the 6-year clock.

Extension by Legislative Deferment of Polls: Congress passes a simple law postponing the 2028 election due to logistics or calamity.

Extension by Emergency Declaration: The President declares a severe National Emergency (non-war) and Congress concurs, suspending the election.

Extension by New Statutory Office Creation: Congress creates a powerful new, non-constitutional role (e.g., Chief Development Officer) with a long statutory term for the incumbent.

Extension by Succession Incapacit Legal/political chaos incapacitates all legal successors (VP, etc.), forcing the incumbent to hold over.

Extension by Election Invalidation: A court ruling or technicality voids the 2028 election, forcing the incumbent to remain until a valid re-run.

Extension by Cabinet Appointment: The incumbent resigns, the successor is sworn in, and immediately appoints the former President to a powerful, unelected executive post that maintains command.

a separate peace - knowles