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Penrose News

    Prediction markets for Penrose

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1049

    930

    Greatest Physicist of All Time

    Jul 21, 10:51 PMJul 22, 10:14 PM
    242280

    OptionProbability

    Einstein

    Newton

    Maxwell

    Someone who solves quantum gravity

    Dirac

    Richard P. Feynman

    Bohr

    Schrödinger

    Heisenberg

    Planck

    Pauli

    Fermi

    Boltzmann

    Johannes Kepler

    Bose

    Someone to cause a paradigm shift in understanding the physics of experience

    Lorentz

    Emmy Noether

    Witten

    Someone with high achievement in experimental physics

    Someone who convincingly replaces quantum mechanics with a better framework

    Poincaré

    Stephen Hawking

    Tycho Brahe

    Demokritos (sp)

    Shen Kuo

    Ibn al-Haytham

    Archimedes

    Ernst Mach

    Roger Penrose

    @121

    Heisenburger

    91

    87

    68

    59

    59

    58

    54

    47

    47

    47

    43

    41

    41

    36

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    31

    22

    18

    16

    13

    13

    13

    12

    9

    8

    7

    5

    2

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    616

    153

    Will another aperiodic monotile be discovered?

    Apr 1, 7:49 PMJan 1, 7:00 AM
    86%chance
    8850

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    330

    126

    What's true about time's arrow

    Aug 11, 3:19 PMJan 1, 3:32 PM
    8233

    OptionProbability

    Different observers may have time's arrows pointing in different directions

    Anthropic selection: observers necessarily find themselves in regions with increasing entropy

    The arrow reflects brute initial conditions; there is no deeper explanation to be had

    Growth of quantum entanglement under unitary dynamics explains thermodynamic irreversibility

    Gravitational instability and cosmological expansion generate the observed thermodynamic arrow

    Inflationary cosmology dynamically selects special low-entropy initial conditions, explaining the arrow

    Entropy increase is emergent from coarse-graining and typicality; no deeper micro-physical asymmetry is needed

    Time’s arrow arises from asymmetric boundary conditions at both temporal ends (two-time boundary conditions)

    The Past Hypothesis is a fundamental lawlike assumption, and a low-entropy beginning fixes the arrow

    Landauer’s principle and information-erasure costs make entropy increase a consequence of information processing constraints

    Computational irreversibility and algorithmic complexity growth are the deeper source of the arrow

    Penrose’s Weyl curvature hypothesis: near-vanishing initial Weyl curvature sets the gravitational arrow

    Objective quantum-collapse dynamics are time-directed (e.g., GRW), grounding macroscopic irreversibility

    58

    52

    44

    41

    41

    35

    34

    34

    34

    34

    30

    25

    23

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