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Top stories

InsiderAdvantage Poll Puts Trump Approval at 54%, Highest This Year

InsiderAdvantage Poll Puts Trump Approval at 54%, Highest This Year

Authors

4

1 year ago

Trump Approval Rating Falls to 38% with 60% Disapproval, Declines Most Among 18-29 Age Group and Minorities in August Pew Survey

Trump Approval Rating Falls to 38% with 60% Disapproval, Declines Most Among 18-29 Age Group and Minorities in August Pew Survey

Authors

6

1 year ago

Publishers Brace for ‘Google Zero’ as AI Overviews Drain Web Traffic

Publishers Brace for ‘Google Zero’ as AI Overviews Drain Web Traffic

Authors

10

1 year ago

Epstein Interest Drops 89%, Less Than 1% See It as Top Issue; Trump Approval Holds at 38% Amid 70% Disapproval of Epstein Handling

Authors

24

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Pew Research

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1819062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

670

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

19.29%chance

555029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2015

243

More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026

Jan 22, 8:36 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

40.07%chance

292982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

818

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.66%chance

241443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

896

What share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?

Jun 10, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2865

OptionProbability

80% to 90%

90% or more

60% to 70%

70% to 80%

50% to 60%

40% to 50%

Less than 40%

25

20

17

15

11

6

5

Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.09%chance

4790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1691

591

Will pet ownership decline in the US from 2023 to 2025-2026?

May 3, 12:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.71%chance

4228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

324

31

Will Chatgpt-type Chatbots become permanent part of our daily lives before 2100?

Sep 9, 12:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10154

OptionProbability

Yes, by 2100

No

62

37

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Feb 12, 2:05 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

71.97%chance

598

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

96

Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?

Dec 21, 7:44 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

32.2%chance

497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

102

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Feb 12, 2:03 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

22.48%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

63

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

Feb 21, 3:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.33%chance

646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

107

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