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Top stories

Pew Poll Finds Republican Backing for Ukraine Rises Before Trump-Putin Talks

US Foreign Policy

Pew Poll Finds Republican Backing for Ukraine Rises Before Trump-Putin Talks

Authors

6

4 months ago

Pew Finds Record 14 M Unauthorized Migrants, First Overall U.S. Decline Since 1960s

US Domestic Policy

Pew Finds Record 14 M Unauthorized Migrants, First Overall U.S. Decline Since 1960s

Authors

32

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Pew

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.43%chance

1518900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

599

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

56.73%chance

441748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

752

More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026

Jan 22, 8:36 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

35%chance

221572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?

Apr 4, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.95%chance

331566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

876

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.66%chance

241443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

896

By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?

Mar 4, 1:55 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

9363

OptionProbability

not by 2030

by 2030

by 2028

by 2026

72

28

23

11

PewDiePie Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 4:34 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5211

OptionProbability

NO

YES

115

101

Will belief in sex/gender distinction reach 2022 levels again before 2030?

Feb 23, 2:47 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

65.99%chance

6210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

379

243

Will pewdiepie switch to nixos in 2026?

Jun 9, 9:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.51%chance

10204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

Large anti-AI protest in a Western country by EOY2025?

Jun 6, 12:34 PMDec 31, 1:32 PM

11.45%chance

8203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

278

36

How many kids will PewDiePie have by his age 40? (By mid 2030)

Dec 7, 2:04 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

3110

OptionProbability

2

3

5+

1

4

46

22

16

12

5

Will the trend towards economic populism in the GOP reverse?

Apr 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

42.85%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

131

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