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Prediction markets for Political Bureau

Bureau of Labor Statistics public reports manipulated for political purposes by end of 2025

Feb 5, 2:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.62%chance

182225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

680

Will inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?

Apr 17, 4:18 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

18.24%chance

12426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?

May 27, 3:37 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.36%chance

9366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Who will be the next leader of Hamas (free response)?

Oct 29, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3130

OptionProbability

Khalil al-Hayya

Khaled Mashal

Zaher Jabarin

Muhammad Ismail Darwish

Other

Mohammed Sinwar

32

16

16

16

16

3

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