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Prediction markets for Political Bureau
Will inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?
Apr 17, 4:18 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
6%chance
18960
OptionVotes
396
25
OptionVotes
192
52
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?
Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
32.1%chance
3125
OptionVotes
1056
869
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?
Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
26.66%chance
252
OptionVotes
1050
981
If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2029 or 2030?
Oct 7, 2:52 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
38.07%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
968
If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2029 or 2030?
Oct 7, 2:52 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
38.07%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
968
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