Politico News

The case settles for more than $10 million before a verdict is reached.

The case settles before a verdict is reached.

New York Times wins at least $1 in damages via a verdict.

Disney sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

NYT and OpenAI announce a partnership that goes beyond access to training data, such as the one OpenAI made with Politico.

The case appears before the Supreme Court.

Nintendo sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2026.

OpenAI wins via an outright verdict in their favor.

The case settles for more than $100 million before a verdict is reached.

New York Times wins at least $10 million in damages via a verdict.

New York Times wins at least $100 million in damages via a verdict.

New York Times wins at least $1 billion in damages via a verdict.

The Supreme Court rules in favor of The New York Times and upholds damages and compensation with a net present value of $10 million or more, but does not order GPT-4 deleted.

The Supreme Court orders GPT-4 to be deleted, or OpenAI otherwise agrees to delete GPT-4 on the basis of this case.

New York Times wins a verdict ordering GPT-4 to be deleted.

New York Times wins a verdict ordering GPT-4 to be deleted from the Supreme Court.

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2025.

Above 31%

Above 40%

Above 50%

Above 60%

Above 70%

YES

YES

YES

NO

Before Feb 18,2026

Before Jan 10,2026

YES

YES

NO

NO

Georgia

Nevada

Tennessee

Iowa

New Hampshire

South Carolina

Michigan

lIIinois

North Carolina

New Mexico

Virginia

Delaware