Power Systems News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Power Systems
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
41.73%chance
556181872
OptionVotes
2717
2003
OptionProbability
15
8
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1764
567
OptionVotes
2981
1492
Will there be a global pause on the largest AI training runs at any point before AGI?
May 29, 5:12 PMJan 1, 6:05 PM
18.99%chance
91729
OptionVotes
3131
1468
Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?
Aug 8, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
66.28%chance
8844
OptionVotes
4652
3621
Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?
Apr 9, 9:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
76.15%chance
12270
OptionVotes
1232
880
Conditional on the following events, before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?
Aug 8, 6:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2230
OptionProbability
66
45
34
13
13
8
5
4
AI system seeks power in a way that wasn't included in the prompt before 2026
May 19, 4:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69%chance
6113
OptionVotes
202
116
Will Riot implement better anti-troll systems for League of Legends: Wild Rift by the end of 2025? If so, how?
Jan 3, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
210
OptionProbability
57
50
50
50
50
43
Lightcell's system demonstrates higher power-to-weight ratio than PEM fuel cell system by 2028?
Jun 22, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:17 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Latest stories
Latest stories