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Prediction markets for PP
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
Jun 21, 6:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
80.45%chance
3113459
OptionVotes
1486
829
OptionProbability
93
92
87
86
82
80
74
68
66
56
56
54
54
54
54
52
48
44
44
41
40
40
38
38
38
36
33
32
31
29
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
24
23
22
22
22
21
20
19
19
18
16
16
15
13
12
11
11
10
10
9
8
7
2
Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
Jan 27, 8:30 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM
21.55%chance
121804
OptionVotes
1908
524
Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?
Jul 9, 6:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
59.53%chance
121779
OptionVotes
1154
566
Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?
Aug 18, 4:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57%chance
341753
OptionVotes
1072
914
Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?
Aug 16, 2:45 PMMar 7, 9:59 PM
41697
OptionProbability
36
27
25
25
13
12
12
12
4
OptionProbability
76
12
9
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1179
892
Does 2000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?
Oct 21, 5:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
78.53%chance
14792
OptionVotes
1118
952
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 500 ppm in 2050?
Oct 8, 7:39 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
33.74%chance
12391
OptionVotes
1048
862
Does 1000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?
Oct 21, 5:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
67.44%chance
12174
OptionVotes
1000
993
Will Jose Luis Ricon vote for or join the Partido Popular (PP) by EOY 2027?
Jan 2, 11:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39%chance
013
OptionVotes
63
40
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