Precision News
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Prediction markets for Precision
Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?
Mar 14, 6:18 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM
43.27%chance
454949
OptionVotes
1074
828
When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?
Jul 2, 12:15 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
121314
OptionProbability
54
45
43
41
26
12
4
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 6:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.04%chance
171095
OptionVotes
1686
593
Will there be a widely accepted precise definition of mesaoptimizer by 2026?
Oct 22, 7:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
26.62%chance
321048
OptionVotes
1507
1257
Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
45.13%chance
19957
OptionVotes
1049
927
Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?
Apr 2, 9:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
13.85%chance
16849
OptionVotes
1336
904
Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?
Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
12.82%chance
15314
OptionVotes
1117
959
Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
41.37%chance
13260
OptionVotes
1048
922
Is the best packing of 17 squares inside a square with the sides of precisely the feigenbaum constant?
Dec 21, 6:57 AMDec 1, 9:59 PM
9.37%chance
6211
OptionVotes
311
32
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
43.89%chance
3135
OptionVotes
1131
884
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
48.13%chance
350
OptionVotes
1038
963
Will the TOP500 use lower-precision for its primary ranking methodology on 1/1/26?
Mar 18, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.99%chance
336
OptionVotes
133
93