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Prediction markets for Progressive Conservative
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
44.78%chance
473044
OptionVotes
984
961
OptionProbability
53
40
2
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1046
956
Will Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?
Jun 24, 4:52 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
14%chance
1207
OptionVotes
248
40
If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Apr 20, 2:40 PMAug 14, 11:00 PM
7187
OptionProbability
60
50
44
15
15
Will any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?
Sep 10, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69%chance
8109
OptionVotes
149
67
[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?
Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
211
OptionProbability
45
28
28
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100