The Spruce Woods by-election in Manitoba concluded with the Progressive Conservative (PC) candidate Colleen Robbins securing a hold for the party, winning with 46.9% of the vote. The New Democratic Party (NDP) showed a strong performance, increasing their share by 21.7 percentage points to 45.7%, while the Liberal Party decreased to 7.4%. The by-election results indicated a narrowing margin between the PC and NDP compared to the 2023 election, where the PC previously held a more comfortable lead. Concurrently, provincial polling in Ontario showed the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PCPO) leading with 53%, followed by the Ontario Liberal Party (OLP) at 27%, and the Ontario New Democratic Party (ONDP) at 12%. On the U.S. political front, recent generic ballot polls for the 2026 elections reveal a competitive landscape with Democrats polling between 38% and 44.5% and Republicans between 34% and 42%, depending on the source. Notably, a significant portion of independent voters, 39%, reportedly do not plan to vote in the 2026 elections. Favorability ratings for key figures such as Donald Trump and Kamala Harris show negative net approval scores, with Trump at -10 to -16 points and Harris at -13 points in various polls.
39% of independent voters don't plan to vote in 2026 (Economist)
NEW: @TheArgumentMag - Verasight poll Generic Ballot 🟦 Democrats: 44.5% 🟥 Republicans: 42.0% ⬜ Not sure: 13.4% With leaners 🟦 Democrats: 50.7% 🟥 Republicans: 49.3% —— Fav-unfav • Trump: 44-54 (-10) • Harris: 41-54 (-13) • Vance: 40-49 (-9) • AOC: 33-42 (-9) • The https://t.co/YrAziLufCW
NEW: @TheArgumentMag/Verasight poll Generic Ballot 🟦 Democrats: 44.5% 🟥 Republicans: 42.0% ⬜ Not sure: 13.4% With leaners 🟦 Democrats: 50.7% 🟥 Republicans: 49.3% —— Fav-unfav • Trump: 44-54 (-10) • Harris: 41-54 (-13) • Vance: 40-49 (-9) • AOC: 33-42 (-9) • The https://t.co/Zh6fAzwsUv