OptionProbability
Trial doesn't start until 2026
Juror names are not public record
The defense calls fewer witnesses than the prosecution
Law & Crime offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"
Alternate juror is seated as a member of the Jury
Court TV offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"
Jury is sequestered just during deliberations
Trial is televised
A motion for recusal is made
Brady evidence is withheld
Luigi Mangione changes counsel during trial
Jury sequestered for entire trial
Defendant held in contempt
Defense counsel sanctioned
DA sanctioned
The case will be heard as a bench trial
100
91
63
52
48
46
45
43
39
26
25
22
19
18
15
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
980
831
2044-2045
2029-2030
2028-2029
2027-2028
2030-2031
2031-2032
2026-2027
2024-2025
2025-2026
2032-2033
2033-2034
2034-2035
2035-2036
2036-2037
2037-2038
2038-2039
2039-2040
2040-2041
2041-2042
2042-2043
2043-2044
28
23
12
6
5
0
211
93
153
147
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