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Prediction markets for Proof of Reserve
How many members of the 2026 USA IMO Team will have had a manifold account?
Aug 7, 12:39 AMApr 1, 11:59 PM
164496
OptionProbability
44
40
7
4
3
1
1
Which of these titles will Ron Paul become “_____ of”, w/r/t the Federal Reserve?
Feb 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3750
OptionProbability
50
37
22
18
18
OptionVotes
1355
948
When will an AI be able to write an OS from scratch, unsupervised, in <24hrs
May 6, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16692
OptionProbability
69
59
57
55
52
52
50
50
48
48
45
43
41
34
30
25
OptionProbability
90
83
72
51
50
50
35
31
31
31
31
31
25
20
20
18
Will someone successfully launder mana into real money?
Jan 19, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60.37%chance
12407
OptionVotes
231
106
A second plane has hit the quantum computing! (By Oct. 2027)
Oct 16, 7:36 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM
20.95%chance
5168
OptionVotes
211
93
Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?
Sep 12, 9:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
46.93%chance
856
OptionVotes
153
147
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