OptionProbability
0–6 months (until Dec 2025)
7–12 months (Jan–Jun 2026)
13–18 months (Jul–Dec 2026)
19–22 months (Jan–Apr 2027, i.e. until scheduled rotation)
More than 22 months (government survives past April 2027)
95
76
66
50
38
Nicușor Dan (Indep.)
Other
George Simion (AUR)
Călin Georgescu (Indep.)
Ilie Bolojan (PNL)
Victor Ponta (Indep.)
Diana Soșoacă (SOS)
George Becali (Indep.)
Sorin Grindeanu (PSD)
Anamaria Gavrilă (POT)
Elena Lasconi (USR)
Daniel Băluță (PSD)
Marius Lulea (AUR)
Dominic Fritz (USR)
Kelemen Hunor (UDMR)
Election cancelled/annulled
48
14
3
