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Top stories

Poll Finds Iowa’s Ernst in Dead Heat With Democratic Rivals

Authors

3

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Public Policy Polling

Which party will win the Kentucky Senate Seat in 2026?

Jan 1, 12:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

172335

OptionProbability

Republican Party

Democratic Party

90

10

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.17%chance

191156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

933

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13.76%chance

12342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

Thailand election 2026

Dec 18, 4:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.18%chance

253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

76

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

45

28

28

Who would you rank #1 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 13, 3:38 PM

290

Who would you rank #2 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 14, 12:43 AM

160

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