OptionProbability
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
MVP Favorite Changes (from Matthew Stafford)
Pick Six
Fat Guy Touchdown*
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Shutout
Overtime
Player wearing a Guardian Cap scores a touchdown during a Thanksgiving day game
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Safety Scored
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Fake Punt
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
A player gets an Octopus
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
Any team scores 40+ points
Scorigami
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
All Starting Rookie QBs win
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Pylon knocked over for a successful touchdown on Monday Night Football
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100
100
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100
100
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100
100
100
100
100
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Team will be scoreless for a quarter
Super Bowl MVP is a quarterback
Winning team has more total yards
First play from scrimmage is a rush
Opening kickoff result is a touchback
Ruling on the field gets overturned by review
Last play is 'victory formation'
Player spikes ball during a touchdown celebration
Player crying during national anthem
Quarterback runs in for a touchdown
Announcer says "goat"
Player goes into the blue tent
Chains used to measure first down 1+ times
Player gets carted off the field
All quarters have points scored (no 0-0 quarters)
Current or former US President in attendance
Failed 4th down attempt
First score is a touchdown
Both teams make 33 yard or longer field goal
Team that scores last wins the game
Score is tied again after 0-0
Broadcast uses video from pylon camera
Both teams score in 1st quarter
Head coach throws a challenge flag
Tom Brady is at the game
Gatorade shower color is yellow/green
An administrative timeout is taken
Winning team has more passing yards
Player with prime jersey number scores a touchdown
Rules analyst disagrees with a decision a ref made
Holding call in 4th quarter
WM Phoenix Open winning score under par is higher than Super Bowl kicking points
Announcer says "tush push"
First turnover is an interception
Taylor Swift is at the game
First score is a field goal
Coin toss is 'heads'
Coin toss is 'tails'
National anthem is over 2 minutes
Player flagged for unsportsmanlike conduct
Head coach or player throws something on sideline in frustration
Team scores in all 4 quarters (same team)
50+ yard field goal is made
Team scores in last 30 seconds of either half
Any player scores 2+ touchdowns
Winning margin is 10+ points
Illegal use of hands to the face penalty given
Kicker is iced
2 point conversion attempted
Play with one or more attempted laterals occurs
Any player scores 7+ points individually
Super Bowl MVP threw an interception or fumbled during the game
No penalty called in last 5 minutes of the game
Any current or former US president is directly referenced by announcer
Penalty for 'roughing the passer' is given
Either quarterback has 2+ interceptions
Tush Push touchdown is made
Injury timeout is taken
Final combined total of QB pass completions is odd
[1st half total score] > [2nd half total score]
[Total score] > [Longest field goal made]
Both teams complete their first pass attempt
Special teams touchdown
Onside kick attempt
Player shown eating a snack on the sideline
Jersey number of last touchdown scorer is even
Altercation occurs between a player and a coach
Trick play results in positive yardage
Both teams have a 4th quarter lead
Kick is missed
Successful 2-point conversion
First touchdown celebration includes acrobatics
Super Bowl is won by a bird team
Any player has a 60+ yard reception
First drive of game is a '3 and out'
Team scores in the last 30 seconds of the game
Team leading at halftime loses
Live animal enters the field of play
50+ yard return
Player retires immediately after game
Backup QB gets put in the game
A player catches the ball with one hand
Player knocks non-player over on the sideline
No penalties in the 4th quarter
Any player successfully hurdles a defender
Wild Card team makes the Super Bowl
Teams are a rematch of a previous super bowl
Unauthorized person gets on the field of play
Winning team has more turnovers
At least one team has 0 points at halftime
Announcer says “hawk-eye”
Any QB throws for 400 or more yards in the game
Team has 5+ sacks
Final score is the same as the final score of a previous Super Bowl
[LX total score] > [LIX total score]
Streaker (fully or partially nude on field)
A player listed over 260 lbs scores a touchdown
Announcer says "stud"
Team is a first time super bowl winner
A player's jersey gets torn
Unauthorized person touches midfield logo
Player gets ejected from the game
Score is tied at half-time
Points scored in the first 90 seconds
Puppy Bowl 2026 MVP shares a first or last name with the SB MVP
Team wins by exactly one point
QB catches a pass from any player
Kick is successfully blocked
There is a doink
No rushing touchdowns scored
Pick 6 occurs
Game goes to OT
Successful 'hail mary' pass is made
A safety is scored
Any player to score an octopus
Final score is scorigami
Super Bowl MVP not from winning team
Stadium blackout occurs
Super Bowl is canceled, postponed or rescheduled (from 2-8-2026)
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72
69
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61
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55
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45
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37
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34
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31
26
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