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Prediction markets for Quadratic
Which three cause areas will get the most EA funding before 2030?
Jan 13, 8:26 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
262359
OptionProbability
38
34
31
26
24
21
20
19
18
14
12
10
9
9
9
8
7
6
Dark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100
Nov 17, 7:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.51%chance
201005
OptionVotes
1262
948
Will a satisfactory sub-quadratic attention operator be found to replace quadratic self-attention layers by 2026?
Sep 24, 2:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
54.17%chance
14587
OptionVotes
1481
675
Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 3:04 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
36.25%chance
6120
OptionVotes
318
145
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