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Prediction markets for Raízen SA
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
9.02%chance
223116039
OptionVotes
20197
4146
Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026
Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.28%chance
2186836
OptionVotes
65409
1529
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.63%chance
6476090
OptionVotes
45370
2204
Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
Sep 20, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.91%chance
3026097
OptionVotes
31979
3127
WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036
Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
9.14%chance
421858
OptionVotes
31528
3172
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
2.17%chance
3517355
OptionVotes
7670
470
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.57%chance
5212004
OptionVotes
8319
3970
OptionProbability
80
12
7
2
Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed?
Jan 10, 7:14 AMJan 1, 7:13 AM
39.07%chance
141203
OptionVotes
5646
4071
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
Who will win American Samoa in the 2028 Republican presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
44
27
18
12
Who will win American Samoa in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
57
20
13
10