Raízen SA News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Raízen SA
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
41%chance
146153456
OptionVotes
1127
892
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
55.32%chance
19884116
OptionVotes
9417
3674
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.72%chance
5954539
OptionVotes
40585
2464
Will the OpenAI Non-Profit become a major AI Safety research funder? (Announced by end of 2025)
Dec 28, 12:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.33%chance
2128231
OptionVotes
26661
3751
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.84%chance
9922653
OptionVotes
5327
1374
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
Apr 22, 1:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.79%chance
387401
OptionVotes
11726
7606
Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025
Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
36.33%chance
146906
OptionVotes
14718
5388
OptionVotes
10761
7308
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
5.79%chance
314843
OptionVotes
3627
616
WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036
Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
35.27%chance
23550
OptionVotes
13548
7381
Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?
Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM
49.22%chance
243307
OptionVotes
10581
9400
Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM
17.84%chance
182443
OptionVotes
1216
911