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Prediction markets for Raízen SA
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
13.43%chance
218106471
OptionVotes
14937
4796
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.51%chance
6169704
OptionVotes
46020
2173
Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?
Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM
10.26%chance
6641051
OptionVotes
29408
3081
Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026
Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.83%chance
1837402
OptionVotes
22230
4498
WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036
Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
9.14%chance
421858
OptionVotes
31528
3172
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
1.96%chance
3516750
OptionVotes
8275
457
[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.76%chance
4012876
OptionVotes
9137
3857
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.21%chance
388547
OptionVotes
5184
5054
OptionProbability
80
12
7
2
Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed?
Jan 10, 7:14 AMJan 1, 7:13 AM
37.74%chance
131103
OptionVotes
5546
4231
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?
Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20