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Prediction markets for Reds
Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?
Sep 4, 7:49 AMMay 1, 5:59 AM
3636485
OptionProbability
83
8
3
3
2
Will Greenland be renamed "Red, White, and Blueland"
Feb 11, 9:49 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
2.61%chance
2510773
OptionVotes
6103
164
Will the official ClaudePlaysPokemon stream complete Pokémon Red?
Feb 25, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
91.12%chance
469106
OptionVotes
3211
313
OptionProbability
56
25
10
3
2
2
1
1
Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028
Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.52%chance
162322
OptionVotes
2929
808
OptionProbability
36
19
19
16
9
1
1
1
0
0
Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?
Feb 14, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.16%chance
4649
OptionVotes
139
26
OptionVotes
1211
380
Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?
Apr 28, 10:24 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM
38.58%chance
15583
OptionVotes
1143
899
Will the Red Panda (Ailurus fulgens) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 11, 1:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.11%chance
5246
OptionVotes
744
405
Will "Red-Thing-Ism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Aug 25, 3:26 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.23%chance
3180
OptionVotes
1003
984
Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 23, 12:44 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.32%chance
251
OptionVotes
1051
992
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