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Prediction markets for Reform Party
OptionVotes
1493
816
Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?
Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM
3%chance
2132109
OptionVotes
5686
176
OptionVotes
31861
3893
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
15.45%chance
206717
OptionVotes
2340
427
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM
52.71%chance
245995
OptionVotes
2063
1941
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Jul 12, 5:20 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
334944
OptionProbability
100
39
29
25
24
16
15
12
12
8
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
83.65%chance
283381
OptionVotes
2162
342
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
163107
OptionProbability
46
21
13
12
2
2
2
2
Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?
Aug 16, 2:45 PMMar 7, 9:59 PM
42326
OptionProbability
36
31
27
27
27
27
25
25
7
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
Jul 5, 2:54 AMJul 12, 10:59 PM
74.09%chance
261912
OptionVotes
1691
591
How many seats will be won by Estonian Reform Party in the next Estonian parliamentary election?
Mar 18, 11:17 AMMar 8, 11:59 PM
7230
OptionProbability
28
25
17
12
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Dec 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5105
OptionProbability
60
27
8
5


