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Prediction markets for Reform Party
OptionVotes
1687
593
Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?
Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM
3.37%chance
2112985
OptionVotes
5357
187
OptionVotes
13205
7968
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
20.9%chance
153264
OptionVotes
1946
514
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Jul 12, 5:20 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
272820
OptionProbability
89
40
38
36
35
28
28
27
23
23
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
79.26%chance
242639
OptionVotes
1955
512
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
Jul 5, 2:54 AMJul 12, 10:59 PM
74.09%chance
261912
OptionVotes
1691
591
Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?
Jul 6, 2:50 PMAug 1, 2:40 PM
61804
OptionProbability
81
80
69
46
40
40
40
40
25
18
18
17
12
12
4
Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?
Aug 16, 2:45 PMMar 7, 9:59 PM
41697
OptionProbability
36
27
25
25
13
12
12
12
4
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM
33.02%chance
181605
OptionVotes
2890
1359
How many seats will be won by Estonian Reform Party in the next Estonian parliamentary election?
Mar 18, 11:17 AMMar 8, 11:59 PM
5142
OptionProbability
46
31
28
24
How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
May 5, 8:27 PMMay 6, 9:00 PM
384
OptionProbability
28
20
17
16
14
5