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Top stories

Utah Judge Orders GOP-Controlled Legislature to Redraw Congressional Map Within 30 Days, Opening Potential Democratic Seat Amid Trump Criticism

Utah Judge Orders GOP-Controlled Legislature to Redraw Congressional Map Within 30 Days, Opening Potential Democratic Seat Amid Trump Criticism

Authors

29

3 months ago

Texas Rep. Collier Halts Video Call After GOP Warns of Bathroom Felony

Texas Rep. Collier Halts Video Call After GOP Warns of Bathroom Felony

Authors

13

4 months ago

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

3 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis Appoints Former Green Beret Jay Collins as Lieutenant Governor, Potential 2026 Gubernatorial Candidate

Authors

40

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Republican

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

673788303

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Donald Trump Jr

Marco Rubio

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump, Sr

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Ron Desantis

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Kristi Noem

None

Greg Abbott

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Brian Kemp

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

Ivanka Trump

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

51

19

8

6

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.84%chance

316241647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1792

1079

2028 Republican nominee?

Sep 14, 5:38 AMSep 6, 6:59 AM

392195907

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Donald Trump Jr

Marco Rubio

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Sr.

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Glenn Youngkin

Ron Desantis

Ted Cruz

Nick Fuentes

Nikki Haley

Vivek Ramaswamy

Greg Abbott

Tulsi Gabbard

Paul Ryan

51

16

7

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

Jul 9, 4:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3074836

OptionProbability

Republican president, <2%

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

Republican president, >=4%

Democrat president, <2%

Democrat president, >= 2%, <3%

Democrat president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, >=4%

31

26

21

19

1

1

1

1

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.74%chance

9437956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12662

7913

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4212453

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump Jr.

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Ron DeSantis

Greg Abbott

Tucker Carlson

47

13

13

10

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

Apr 8, 12:37 PMJan 10, 5:59 AM

14.31%chance

287579

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5012

4305

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

If the Republican candidate loses the U.S. Presidential election in 2028, will they say it was rigged/stolen?

Nov 8, 3:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

69.53%chance

146264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1511

662

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

58.65%chance

714953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1238

790

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

52

28

8

7

4

Trump's Republican approval below 80%?

May 12, 12:00 PMJan 20, 12:39 PM

56.78%chance

363308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1543

1439

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