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Top stories

Utah Judge Orders GOP-Controlled Legislature to Redraw Congressional Map Within 30 Days, Opening Potential Democratic Seat Amid Trump Criticism

Utah Judge Orders GOP-Controlled Legislature to Redraw Congressional Map Within 30 Days, Opening Potential Democratic Seat Amid Trump Criticism

Authors

29

8 months ago

Texas Rep. Collier Halts Video Call After GOP Warns of Bathroom Felony

Texas Rep. Collier Halts Video Call After GOP Warns of Bathroom Felony

Authors

13

9 months ago

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis Appoints Former Green Beret Jay Collins as Lieutenant Governor, Potential 2026 Gubernatorial Candidate

Authors

40

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Republican

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

758984583

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump, Sr

Nikki Haley

Ted Cruz

Glenn Youngkin

Brian Kemp

Ivanka Trump

None

Greg Abbott

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

43

22

12

6

5

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

8.95%chance

389346326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2842

634

2028 Republican nominee?

Sep 14, 5:38 AMSep 6, 6:59 AM

447290764

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr

Donald Trump Sr.

Ron Desantis

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Vivek Ramaswamy

Greg Abbott

Tulsi Gabbard

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Ted Cruz

Nick Fuentes

Paul Ryan

41

22

14

6

5

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Thomas Massie wins Kentucky's 4th Republican primary in 2026?

Sep 10, 2:53 AMMay 19, 12:59 AM

71%chance

142100528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1865

773

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

Jul 9, 4:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3174886

OptionProbability

Republican president, <2%

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

Republican president, >=4%

Democrat president, <2%

Democrat president, >= 2%, <3%

Democrat president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, >=4%

31

26

21

19

1

1

1

1

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

49.54%chance

14448354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

769

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.71%chance

9840566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10948

9140

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

8.72%chance

5023475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3236

309

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4713237

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr.

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Eric Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

Glenn Youngkin

Tucker Carlson

Ivanka Trump

Greg Abbott

49

13

11

9

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

Apr 8, 12:37 PMJan 10, 5:59 AM

14.44%chance

307586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5019

4264

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

153650

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

53

28

8

7

4

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