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Top stories

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Robotaxi

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

143189174

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2025

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

91

3

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

5.27%chance

267104677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4252

497

Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?

Oct 11, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11%chance

626505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2844

352

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.11%chance

92746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3026

623

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

83.82%chance

432328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

838

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.12%chance

91823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2369

422

Will most miles in the US be driven by hail-on-demand robotaxis in 2030?

Jan 4, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.01%chance

211307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

867

Will I be able to summon a robotaxi in NYC before I can buy an EV with a all-solid-state battery?

Jan 25, 8:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

77.63%chance

231068

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

972

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

73.91%chance

111059

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1683

594

Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]

Jan 27, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.06%chance

6506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

906

Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028?

Jul 15, 2:17 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

29.42%chance

4475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

914

Wayve robotaxi in London when?

Jun 26, 8:23 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Before Sep 2026

Before Nov 2026

Before Jan 2027

Before Mar 2027

Before May 2027

Before Jul 2027

50

50

50

50

50

50

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Automobile
Robotics
San Francisco
Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations
Authors
4
1 year ago

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