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Top stories

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Robotaxi

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

143189907

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2025

2029

2030

Other

2024

90

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

17.62%chance

274106989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

767

Tesla delivers Robotaxi before 2027 and MKBHD shaves head?

Jun 28, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.69%chance

196841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6020

166

Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?

Oct 11, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.03%chance

636655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2994

334

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.77%chance

102846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3126

615

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

83.82%chance

432328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

838

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.16%chance

102023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2569

389

Will most miles in the US be driven by hail-on-demand robotaxis in 2030?

Jan 4, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.01%chance

211307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

867

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

70.73%chance

121137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

643

Will I be able to summon a robotaxi in NYC before I can buy an EV with a all-solid-state battery?

Jan 25, 8:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

77.63%chance

231068

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

972

Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]

Jan 27, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.48%chance

8672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028?

Jul 15, 2:17 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

29.42%chance

4475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

914

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Automobile
Robotics
San Francisco
Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations
Authors
4
1 year ago

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