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Top stories

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Robotaxi

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

140175462

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

2025

70

14

4

3

3

3

1

1

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

15.68%chance

24770128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

733

Will most Tesla-owned robotaxis use Lidar, at launch?

Jun 22, 3:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

288478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6363

157

Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?

Oct 11, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11%chance

626505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2844

352

Tesla delivers Robotaxi before 2027 and MKBHD shaves head?

Jun 28, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.73%chance

153080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2885

347

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.66%chance

82393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2878

637

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.57%chance

432228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1461

858

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.12%chance

91823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2369

422

Will most miles in the US be driven by hail-on-demand robotaxis in 2030?

Jan 4, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.01%chance

211307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

867

Will I be able to summon a robotaxi in NYC before I can buy an EV with a all-solid-state battery?

Jan 25, 8:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

77.63%chance

231068

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

972

Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]

Jan 27, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.65%chance

5430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

845

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

59.67%chance

9426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1216

822

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Automobile
Robotics
San Francisco
Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations
Authors
4
10 months ago

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