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Prediction markets for Roche
OptionProbability
96
8
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which stuff would be featured in Kurzgesagt's new game, Star Birds? (On release)
Jun 10, 4:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
221927
OptionProbability
97
92
85
78
63
60
55
55
55
53
31
28
Will Rochelle Shen die of dysentery on the Oregon Trail by 2035?
Aug 18, 11:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.46%chance
5488
OptionVotes
514
78
Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Dec 21, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.71%chance
10419
OptionVotes
1191
957
Will Rochelle shen's cats eat Noah Smith or kipply's bunnies by 2033
Jun 23, 1:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16.11%chance
6220
OptionVotes
228
44
Will Severin Schwan (CEO of Roche) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 8, 11:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.23%chance
8187
OptionVotes
278
112
Will Gwern and Rochelle Shen end up dating and playdating their cats by EOY2026
Nov 15, 2:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.89%chance
3160
OptionVotes
260
38
Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos and Rochelle Shen either date, fall in love with, or have an e/acc baby together?
Dec 23, 6:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.73%chance
475
OptionVotes
118
70
Will Jose Luis Ricon and Rochelle Shen both get a furby or parrot and then learn words from each other's furby/parrot
Oct 9, 3:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.78%chance
120
OptionVotes
90
56
OptionVotes
110
75
Will either of the cofounders of Genesis House (Rochelle Shen, Jeremy Nixon) visit calculus.house in 2025?
Jun 19, 6:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43.06%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
87
If Rochelle Shen played Civ6/Civ7 OR CK3 against William Eden would she win?
Sep 19, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.39%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
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