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Top stories

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Authors

13

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Rocket Force

Gaza War ceasefire holds until end of year?

Oct 13, 2:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.49%chance

909810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

503

22

Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?

Feb 10, 8:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

46.26%chance

9986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

392

200

First confirmed Tomahawk use by Ukraine

Oct 14, 11:34 AMFeb 1, 12:32 PM

11701

OptionProbability

Before February 2026

Before January 2026

Before December 2025

Before November 2025

42

21

10

0

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.08%chance

12289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

61

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

88.77%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?

Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

10.3%chance

7217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

58

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.7%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

105

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.05%chance

4129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

67

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

Will a Chinese armed forces pilot defect to Taiwan with their aircraft before 2030?

Dec 12, 2:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27.08%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

163

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
China
Politics
World
Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade
Authors
13
3 months ago

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