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Prediction markets for Rockets
Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?
Mar 19, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.11%chance
663880
OptionVotes
1421
689
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18.21%chance
443772
OptionVotes
2089
371
Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?
Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.51%chance
203260
OptionVotes
2414
498
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Aug 6, 10:52 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM
92.98%chance
193158
OptionVotes
3227
615
Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 7:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
12.53%chance
223035
OptionVotes
1926
731
Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.31%chance
371949
OptionVotes
1147
946
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
80.77%chance
181518
OptionVotes
1999
553
Will a nuclear saltwater rocket engine be tested before 2040?
Nov 12, 1:42 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
31.63%chance
14952
OptionVotes
1300
818
Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.59%chance
15874
OptionVotes
1273
873
Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
Nov 14, 3:46 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM
59.21%chance
25648
OptionVotes
1094
820
Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
Jul 30, 4:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.86%chance
21627
OptionVotes
1112
718
Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Feb 13, 7:22 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
53.05%chance
11600
OptionVotes
1063
941