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Rubin News

    Prediction markets for Rubin

    OptionProbability

    Andrew Tate

    Nick Mullen

    Adam Friedland

    Tumbles

    Medhi Hasan

    Sam Harris

    Brian & Ed Krassenstein

    Dave Rubin

    Richard Hanania

    Joe Rogan

    Mark Cuban

    Vaush (after Jan 1st 2024)

    Cremieux

    Christopher Rufo

    Jack Dorsey

    Robert Sapolsky

    Ray Kurzweil

    Ezra Klein

    Mark Kelly

    Tim walz

    shane gillis

    matt mccusker

    Mr Girl (after Jan 1st 2024)

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Elon Musk

    Julian Assange

    Matt Taibbi

    Hasanabi (after Jan 1st 2024)

    Andrew Yang

    Alexandra Cooper

    Stephen Colbert

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    John Oliver

    Tristan Tate

    Tucker Carlson

    Jim Jefferies

    Don Lemon

    Robert F Kennedy Jr

    Mr. Beast

    Theo Von

    JD Vance

    Justin Trudeau

    Kamala Harris

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Bill Mahrer

    Jon Stewart

    Taylor Swift

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Barack Obama

    Michelle Obama

    Donald Trump

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    74

    72

    70

    63

    59

    55

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    46

    46

    45

    44

    43

    43

    41

    41

    41

    40

    39

    39

    38

    37

    33

    28

    28

    25

    21

    20

    17

    15

    14

    14

    11

    10

    7

    6

    Who are you aligned with?

    Mar 31, 1:34 PMJan 1, 2:27 PM
    1210910

    OptionProbability

    Mark Manson

    Adam M. Curry

    Jaan Tallinn

    Eric Czuleger

    David Hume

    Liron Shapira

    Andrew Bustamonte

    Graham Handcock

    Andrew Gallimore

    Hamilton Morris

    Zach De La Rocha

    Audrey Tang

    Scott Aaronson

    Rick Rubin

    KRS-1

    Max Tegmark

    Rob Miles

    Connor Leahy

    Samo Burja

    George Hotz

    Jan Leike

    David Shapiro

    Tim Kennedy

    Roger Penrose

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Tim Ferris

    Mark Laita

    Chris Ramsey

    Permendes

    Pythagoras

    David Chalmers

    Roman Yampolskiy

    Stuart Russell

    Brian Armstrong

    Doug Lenat

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Nathan Labenz

    Julian Dorey

    Yoshua Bengio

    Andrew Yang

    Dave Smith

    David Deutsch

    Ilya Sutskever

    Hal Putoff

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Daniel Sheehan

    Daniel Hillis

    Tom Campbell

    Curt Jaimungal

    Matthew Pines

    Jesse Michels

    Danny Jones

    Jack Kruse

    Ben Goertzle

    Jake Barber

    Ludwig Wittgenstein

    Bertrand Russell

    Dan Faggela

    Robert Monroe

    Mike Benz

    Chris Bledsoe

    Julian Assange

    Micheal Levin

    Shawn Ryan

    Jeffrey Mishlove

    Steven Greer

    Harald Malmgren

    Matt Beall

    Robert Epstein

    Jeffrey Sachs

    Gary Nolan

    Daryl Cooper

    John McAfee

    Diogenes

    Sean Carroll

    David Grush

    Daryl Davis

    David Goggins

    Suchir Balaji

    Noam Chomsky

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Jack Dorsey

    Bernie Sanders

    Scott Alexander

    Nathan Young

    Andrew Huberman

    Karl Marx

    Avi Loeb

    Nick Bostrom

    Ezra Klein

    Nate Soares

    Sam Altman

    Dario Amodei

    Joe Rogan

    The user @krantz

    Lex Fridman

    Immanuel Kant

    George Washington

    Douglas Murry

    Narendra Modi

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Palmer Luckey

    Joeseph Farrell

    Jeremy Corbell

    Amjad Masad

    Ammon Hillman

    Sergey Brin

    Steve Kwast

    Rob Reiner

    Bryan Johnson

    Larry Ellison

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Elon Musk

    Robin Hanson

    Eric Prince

    Andrew Tate

    Alex Karp

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    Aaron Rodgers

    Donald Trump

    Vladimir Putin

    Peter Tiel

    Eric Weinstein

    Tucker Carlson

    Alex Jones

    Dick Cheney

    Jordan Peterson

    97

    96

    96

    96

    95

    94

    94

    94

    94

    94

    94

    94

    94

    94

    94

    93

    93

    93

    93

    93

    93

    93

    93

    93

    92

    92

    92

    92

    91

    91

    91

    91

    91

    91

    91

    91

    90

    90

    90

    89

    89

    89

    89

    88

    85

    85

    85

    85

    85

    85

    84

    84

    84

    84

    84

    84

    84

    84

    83

    83

    83

    83

    83

    83

    83

    82

    82

    82

    81

    81

    81

    81

    81

    81

    81

    81

    80

    80

    79

    79

    78

    73

    70

    70

    70

    69

    69

    68

    68

    66

    66

    66

    66

    65

    64

    61

    59

    59

    57

    56

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    45

    41

    41

    40

    40

    36

    34

    26

    24

    23

    20

    20

    15

    14

    14

    12

    10

    Who will be the first woman to set foot on the Moon?

    Aug 4, 12:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    141122

    OptionProbability

    Kayla Barron

    Other

    Stephanie Wilson

    Jessica Watkins

    Liu Yang

    Wang Yaping

    Jasmin Moghbeli

    Wang Haoze

    Nicole Mann

    Anne McClain

    Jessica Meir

    Christina Koch

    Kate Rubins

    33

    20

    11

    7

    5

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    1

    1

    Who will be the next person to land on the moon?

    Feb 9, 4:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    14965

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Stephanie Wilson

    Nicole A. Mann

    Jasmin Moghbeli

    Anne McClain

    Jessica Watkins

    Nichole Ayers

    Kayla Barron

    @121

    Jessica Wittner

    Jeffery Bezos

    Elon Musk

    Kate Rubins

    Scott Tingle

    Frank Rubio

    Jessica Meir

    Kjell Lindgren

    Christina H. Koch

    Jonny Kim

    Victor Glover

    Matthew Dominick

    Raja Chari

    Other

    Wang Yaping

    Liu Yang

    Zhai Zhigang

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Warren Hoburg

    Joseph Acaba

    16

    12

    12

    10

    7

    6

    6

    5

    4

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    When will Rubin come out?

    Feb 19, 9:02 AMFeb 27, 4:59 AM
    8712

    OptionProbability

    Before April 2026

    Before March 2026

    Before February 2026

    Before 2026

    58

    46

    34

    20

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    289

    35

    Will someone solve Paul Rubin's cipher by the end of 2032?

    Mar 14, 7:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    11.66%chance
    2210

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    350

    65

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