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Top stories

Runway Debuts Game Worlds Beta, Adds AI Voice-Swapping Tool

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Runway

Construction on Billy Bishop to enable jets started?

Mar 15, 7:39 PMMar 22, 7:28 PM

4.72%chance

83753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4493

223

Will an aeroplane take off from Heathrow's Third Runway before these dates?

Jan 30, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

112226

OptionProbability

1st January 2045

1st January 2045

1st January 2040

1st January 2035

1st January 2030

52

51

35

8

4

Will Brightline (Florida) default in 2026

Feb 4, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.76%chance

91855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2228

449

Will the third runway at Heathrow begin construction?

Mar 21, 8:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.73%chance

181658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

844

Which party was at fault in the 2024 Haneda Airport runway collision?

Jan 5, 10:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14893

OptionProbability

The pilots of the stationary coast guard plane

The air traffic controllers

The procedures themselves

The pilots of the landing Japan Airlines Airbus A350

The airplane manufacturers

The maintenance crew

Somebody else/nobody

72

17

6

2

1

1

1

Will any existing generative AI unicorn go public by 2027?

Aug 27, 3:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

78.66%chance

20584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

954

When dreamchaser launches, will it land on the runway succcessfully?

Jan 18, 8:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71.39%chance

12356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

126

Will Heathrow increase monthly air transport movements from 40,000 to 50,000 before 2030?

Oct 11, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.47%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)?

Apr 17, 9:34 PMMar 5, 12:00 PM

35.18%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

215

170

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

951

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