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Top stories

Runway Debuts Game Worlds Beta, Adds AI Voice-Swapping Tool

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Runway

Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?

Aug 3, 6:33 PMJan 2, 8:56 PM

76%chance

587182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

56

Who will be found to be at fault in the Air Canada LaGuardia Airport crash?

Mar 23, 11:56 PMSep 23, 11:52 PM

202352

OptionProbability

Multiple parties (shared responsibility)

Other

Air Traffic Controller

Fire Fighters

Flight Crew (pilot/co-pilot)

Investigation inconclusive

64

19

10

3

2

1

Will an aeroplane take off from Heathrow's Third Runway before these dates?

Jan 30, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6976

OptionProbability

1st January 2045

1st January 2045

1st January 2040

1st January 2035

1st January 2030

82

78

52

40

7

Will the third runway at Heathrow begin construction?

Mar 21, 8:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

65.16%chance

16964

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1477

562

Construction on Billy Bishop to enable jets started?

Mar 15, 7:39 PMMar 22, 7:28 PM

30.96%chance

7705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

670

Will Brightline (Florida) default in 2026

Feb 4, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.13%chance

5438

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

902

Will baggy jeans still be fashionable for womens on July 1 of 2026?

Jan 12, 6:10 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

94.51%chance

5385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

415

24

When dreamchaser launches, will it land on the runway succcessfully?

Jan 18, 8:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71.39%chance

12356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

126

Will any existing generative AI unicorn go public by 2027?

Aug 27, 3:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

72.55%chance

17321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

871

Will Heathrow increase monthly air transport movements from 40,000 to 50,000 before 2030?

Oct 11, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.47%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)?

Apr 17, 9:34 PMMar 5, 12:00 PM

35.18%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

215

170

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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