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Scope Ratings News
Prediction markets for Scope Ratings
Prediction markets for Scope Ratings
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.29%
chance
21
6832
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3327
301
Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Feb 7, 3:15 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.92%
chance
11
3578
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13205
7968
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.85%
chance
15
727
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1151
729
How many years from 13/03/2025 until ASI?
Mar 12, 6:06 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
8
425
Will US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
Jan 21, 3:25 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10.61%
chance
12
355
Option
Votes
YES
NO
370
92
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