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Prediction markets for Sea Limited
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.59%chance
488227
OptionVotes
1239
943
OptionProbability
48
37
14
1
1
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.23%chance
252768
OptionVotes
2511
613
Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030
Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
82738
OptionProbability
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
37
21
19
18
0
0
0
OptionProbability
75
15
8
2
Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?
Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.55%chance
261714
OptionVotes
1112
926
Will North Korea attack South Korea's outlying islands, causing fatalities, before 2030?
Feb 5, 5:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.11%chance
13629
OptionVotes
263
139
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?
Dec 17, 1:09 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
82.9%chance
6195
OptionVotes
217
64
Will practical liquid breathing be demonstrated before 2040?
May 14, 7:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
73.29%chance
473
OptionVotes
119
38
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