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Top stories

White House Rolls Out Digital Asset Blueprint as SEC Softens Securities Stance

US Domestic Policy

White House Rolls Out Digital Asset Blueprint as SEC Softens Securities Stance

Authors

38

2 days ago

SEC Delays Grayscale Solana ETF to October as Issuers Revamp Filings

SEC Delays Grayscale Solana ETF to October as Issuers Revamp Filings

Authors

10

2 days ago

Berkshire Profit Falls 4% as Kraft Heinz Charge, Tariff Warning Bite

Company Earnings

Berkshire Profit Falls 4% as Kraft Heinz Charge, Tariff Warning Bite

Authors

15

32 minutes ago

Mill City Ventures Raises $450 Million, Acquires 76M SUI Tokens as Price Surges 53% and TVL Hits $2.28B, Lists on Nasdaq

Authors

16

3 days ago

SEC Approves In-Kind Creation and Redemption for Bitcoin, Ether ETFs

Authors

45

4 days ago

U.S. SEC Acknowledges BlackRock Filing to Permit Staking for Spot Ethereum ETF

Authors

9

4 days ago

AEye Deploys OPTIS Lidar, Files $75M Stock Offering; VisionWave Secures $50M for AI Defense; MicroVision MOVIA Lidar Gains NVIDIA Support

Authors

6

5 days ago

Appeals Court Vacates SEC Audit-Trail Fee Rule After Citadel Challenge

Authors

5

8 days ago

Prediction markets for SEC

Will Tesla have a 0-60mph < 1 sec car before 2028?

Feb 29, 7:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.71%chance

517418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1729

660

Will the SEC charge Donald Trump with stock manipulation related to DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) by Dec. 2025?

Sep 17, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.29%chance

157172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6529

153

SEC wins its case against Binance

Jun 6, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1%chance

172336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1540

1

Will the SEC sue or settle with Caitlyn Jenner?

May 27, 8:00 AMNov 30, 10:59 PM

48.27%chance

13562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

Will the SEC approve a DOGE ETF in 2025?

Jan 30, 9:57 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

67.78%chance

10304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Dec 30, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.38%chance

12299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

941

Will "Access to powerful AI might make computer sec..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 8, 5:57 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.09%chance

3118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

994

Will the SEC suit against Elon Musk result in financial penalty?

Jan 15, 12:55 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

30.77%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

Oct 27, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.86%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Will the SEC allow the tokenization of public company stocks during Trump's term?

Nov 15, 12:25 AMJan 22, 2:59 AM

51.47%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Will a new SEC / IRS rule cause CF secondary volume to decrease by ~50% by 2030?

Nov 2, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.26%chance

438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

134

Who in the Forbes 30 Under 30 2025 list will be charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

Dec 14, 6:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

119

OptionProbability

Oban MacTavish

Molly Mielke

Maya Kuppermann

Demi Guo

Anirudh Joshi

Rob Baldoni

Kathryn Newton

Collins Obinna Chibueze ("Shaboozey")

Peggy Wang

Gökçe Güven

Jenny Lei

Sonia Yang

Daniel Marin

Ben Nowack

Zander Isaacson

Brian Waddick

Jordan Taylor

Jayson Tatum

Jared Quincy Davis

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

45

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