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Prediction markets for Security Affairs
Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?
Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM
16.74%chance
162498
OptionVotes
223
45
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.79%chance
161362
OptionVotes
1696
589
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32930
OptionProbability
57
43
Will Windows's desktop market share in 2026 be at least 5% lower than in 2024?
Mar 18, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
51.81%chance
17436
OptionVotes
316
179
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district
Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3135
OptionProbability
85
15
Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM
53.08%chance
399
OptionVotes
106
94
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