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Top stories

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

Authors

6

6 months ago

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

US Domestic Policy

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

Authors

6

5 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Senate Republicans

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

62.7%chance

12337356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

541

397

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

86.56%chance

143163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2538

394

Will a runoff be needed in the 2026 Republican Primary for Senate in Texas?

Jan 21, 6:28 AMMar 4, 5:28 AM

32030

OptionProbability

Yes, a runoff is needed.

No, Ken Paxton gets a majority in the first round.

No, John Cornyn gets a majority in the first round.

No, Wesley Hunt gets a majority in the first round.

73

17

8

1

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)

Jan 24, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.42%chance

81904

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

256

Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?

Jan 8, 3:23 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

31.38%chance

10751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1581

546

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?

Dec 8, 6:09 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

873

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

72.32%chance

12442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

943

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

58.57%chance

5414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1189

841

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Jan 24, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.67%chance

9367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

835

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

What % of the vote will the Republican get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)

Jan 25, 8:16 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Kentucky (55% to 65%)

Ohio (45% to 55%)

Maine (40% to 50%)

Georgia (40% to 50%)

New Hampshire (35% to 45%)

Minnesota (40% to 50%)

50

50

48

48

42

39

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2028?

Nov 13, 8:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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