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Top stories

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

Authors

6

9 months ago

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

US Domestic Policy

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

Authors

6

9 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Senate Republicans

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

49.54%chance

14448354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

769

Will Kristi Noem win the South Dakota Republican primary for Senate in 2026?

Feb 26, 8:16 AMJun 2, 11:59 PM

5.12%chance

195006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

105

How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94871

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 12

Above 16

Above 14

Above 18

100

93

51

40

31

21

12

9

8

8

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

84.73%chance

214248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2356

424

Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?

Jan 8, 3:23 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

27.05%chance

111113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1730

484

If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?

Apr 3, 12:27 AMJan 3, 11:59 AM

43.41%chance

9877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

876

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

46.88%chance

5638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

940

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.77%chance

15595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

806

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?

Dec 8, 6:09 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

873

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?

Dec 8, 6:08 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

16357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

90

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

Will Bill Cassidy make the runoff of the Louisiana Republican Primary for Senate?

Mar 15, 5:18 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

57.38%chance

419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

993

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