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Top stories

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

Authors

6

7 months ago

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

US Domestic Policy

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

Authors

6

7 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Senate Republicans

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

52.22%chance

13641604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

617

295

Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?

Feb 13, 5:07 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9217612

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Tie

Other

48

41

10

1

How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84692

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 12

Above 16

Above 14

Above 18

100

82

51

40

31

21

12

9

8

8

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

80.33%chance

213897

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2021

495

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)

Jan 24, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.59%chance

102318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2283

1569

Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?

Jan 8, 3:23 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

31.88%chance

10759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1565

553

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.77%chance

15595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

806

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

51.43%chance

5545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

972

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?

Dec 8, 6:09 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

873

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?

Nov 13, 8:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.39%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will Bill Cassidy make the runoff of the Louisiana Republican Primary for Senate?

Mar 15, 5:18 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

57.38%chance

419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

993

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