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5

3 days ago

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25401790555

OptionProbability

Never

2029

2030s

2025

2023 (NO)

2024

2026

2027

2028

2040s or later

91

4

4

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

8.47%chance

398208314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7082

798

How much time will SBF serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?

Oct 11, 8:47 PMOct 19, 6:59 AM

332143983

OptionProbability

20-30 years

10-20 years

5-10 years

2-5 years

<2 years

30-40 years

40-50 years

50+ years

55

27

15

1

0

0

0

0

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

25.05%chance

36278194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1635

667

Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?

Dec 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

7.13%chance

9419705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4935

627

Will Hunter Biden serve time in jail/prison?

Jul 13, 5:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.62%chance

3917052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3393

589

Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?

Aug 31, 8:39 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

89.35%chance

10310411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2848

820

Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?

Feb 2, 3:07 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

77.48%chance

705106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1905

1060

Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?

Jun 10, 8:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

6.05%chance

384256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3985

416

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.79%chance

151206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

928

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

21.91%chance

31111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

2495

Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?

Apr 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

32.23%chance

135490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1843

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