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Dell Beats Estimates, Raises Outlook on Robust AI Server Sales

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Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

16293

6948

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.83%chance

418665

OptionVotes

YES

1597

626

Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035

Jan 16, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.11%chance

698289

OptionVotes

YES

1204

893

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Nov 27, 12:11 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

325918

OptionProbability

2100

2075

2050

2040

2030

2028

2029

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?

Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.73%chance

764207

OptionVotes

YES

1281

1116

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

35.49%chance

483349

OptionVotes

YES

1417

1169

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

64.46%chance

82561

OptionProbability

YES

4387

2599

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

69.1%chance

171823

OptionVotes

YES

1634

367

Will I endorse Ben Pace's "Sharing Information About Nonlinear" article was given what was known at the time, in 5 years

Sep 10, 10:38 AMSep 17, 10:59 PM

46.43%chance

91725

OptionVotes

YES

1074

931

By 2045, will it be possible to experience collective consciousness through shared cognitive technology?

Feb 18, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.85%chance

26447

OptionVotes

YES

1006

987

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Dec 7, 1:29 PMMar 2, 11:00 AM

60.81%chance

13379

OptionVotes

YES

1076

842

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM

27.63%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

1082

961

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Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Will I endorse Ben Pace's "Sharing Information About Nonlinear" article was given what was known at the time, in 5 years

By 2045, will it be possible to experience collective consciousness through shared cognitive technology?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

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