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Prediction markets for Shares
OptionVotes
1674
597
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
29.57%chance
1953878
OptionVotes
16624
6806
Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?
Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.93%chance
208398
OptionVotes
17074
8778
Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035
Jan 16, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.43%chance
688269
OptionVotes
1260
873
Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?
Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
28.93%chance
723463
OptionVotes
1251
1187
Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
36.86%chance
473297
OptionVotes
1443
1123
OptionProbability
39
33
20
11
8
7
6
4
What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
66.3%chance
72461
OptionProbability
4576
2499
Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?
Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
69.36%chance
161820
OptionVotes
1641
364
OptionVotes
1349
757
[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
Dec 7, 1:29 PMMar 2, 11:00 AM
60.81%chance
13379
OptionVotes
1076
842
Will Fast Retailing share price drop below 35,000 JPY by EOY?
Jun 9, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37%chance
2305
OptionVotes
1305
766
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