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Prediction markets for Shares
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
30.42%chance
2154258
OptionVotes
16293
6948
Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?
Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.16%chance
368326
OptionVotes
1463
683
Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035
Jan 16, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.11%chance
698289
OptionVotes
1204
893
OptionProbability
28
22
14
8
6
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?
Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
30.73%chance
764207
OptionVotes
1281
1116
Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
35.49%chance
483349
OptionVotes
1417
1169
What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
66.3%chance
72461
OptionProbability
4576
2499
Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?
Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
69.1%chance
171823
OptionVotes
1634
367
By 2045, will it be possible to experience collective consciousness through shared cognitive technology?
Feb 18, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
30.85%chance
26447
OptionVotes
1006
987
[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
Dec 7, 1:29 PMMar 2, 11:00 AM
60.81%chance
13379
OptionVotes
1076
842
Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?
Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM
27.63%chance
12372
OptionVotes
1082
961
What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?
Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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