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Prediction markets for Shenzhen
OptionProbability
15
10
9
6
6
6
6
6
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Trump, Xi and Putin hold a three-way in-person meeting by November 22, 2026?
Oct 15, 6:23 PMNov 22, 11:59 PM
20.56%chance
12352
OptionVotes
142
86
Which world leaders will Trump meet at the APEC summit in Shenzhen (Nov 18-19, 2026)?
Nov 5, 5:02 AMNov 20, 4:00 PM
4164
OptionProbability
89
74
44
41
34
34
28
28
24
24
Will China impose a travel ban on Americans to Shenzhen for any period lasting more than 2 months before 2030?
Apr 24, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.38%chance
690
OptionVotes
160
108
OptionVotes
160
62
Will the US formally notify a new arms sale to Taiwan (DSCA/TECRO) by November 30, 2026?
Sep 25, 8:27 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM
16.68%chance
38
OptionVotes
105
71


