SHIF News

Kenya’s Health Ministry Replaces OTP With Biometric Verification for SHA, Suspends 40 Hospitals, Revokes 12 Doctors’ Licenses

2 days ago

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

90.91%chance

15038447

OptionVotes

YES

3841

671

Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?

Jan 14, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.81%chance

7212494

OptionVotes

YES

1434

340

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.33%chance

695805

OptionVotes

YES

2438

2205

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.06%chance

233123

OptionVotes

YES

3255

688

If passed, will 2 or more AI orgs significantly shift their operations from California and give SB 1047 as the reason?

Aug 29, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.22%chance

152594

OptionVotes

YES

2680

373

Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2025 (according to gallop)?

Mar 7, 12:09 PMMar 6, 12:59 PM

24.68%chance

262225

OptionVotes

YES

1747

572

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

Jan 4, 10:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

152171

OptionProbability

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabalistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2027

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2026

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >50% but <90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <50% but >10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2025

Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?

Dec 19, 4:37 AMJul 5, 6:59 AM

80.96%chance

10193

OptionVotes

YES

1093

963

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.06%chance

4181

OptionVotes

YES

428

228

When will I believe that I have successfully Reality Shifted?

Apr 2, 2:20 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

595

SHIFT adopted into Nikkei 225 in October 2025?

Jul 30, 1:18 PMOct 14, 11:59 PM

59.7%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

232

174

Will a major financial inst. use measures to obstruct deployment of AGI due to its paradigm-shifting nature before 2028?

Nov 22, 1:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

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Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

If passed, will 2 or more AI orgs significantly shift their operations from California and give SB 1047 as the reason?

Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2025 (according to gallop)?

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

When will I believe that I have successfully Reality Shifted?

SHIFT adopted into Nikkei 225 in October 2025?

Will a major financial inst. use measures to obstruct deployment of AGI due to its paradigm-shifting nature before 2028?

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