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Prediction markets for Siri
OptionProbability
92
80
36
17
8
3
What will be true of a future, simpler version of Apple Vision Pro? [Mega market]
Feb 15, 11:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
162038
OptionProbability
95
89
87
72
72
66
50
50
50
49
47
38
19
18
13
7
5
4
Will Apple ship a Gemini-powered Siri update to iPhones in 2026?
Mar 26, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52%chance
121212
OptionVotes
243
149
DID Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024? [PERMANENT MARKET/STOCK, DOES NOT RESOLVE]
Jun 10, 7:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
54.33%chance
10610
OptionVotes
109
92
OptionVotes
410
24
Will X be banned by more than one NATO country in 2026?
Jan 11, 5:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.54%chance
10291
OptionVotes
151
66
Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?
Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.28%chance
6213
OptionVotes
313
32
Will Apple enable users to use gesture and voice input as primary interaction methods by 2028?
Mar 12, 6:49 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
42.74%chance
4210
OptionVotes
188
172
OptionProbability
91
3
3
3
Will Apple announce any camera-equipped AI wearable before 2027?
May 9, 11:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM
20.35%chance
5120
OptionVotes
178
68
What will be the final net IRR for Siris Partners V? (X100)
Dec 6, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
63%chance
4104
OptionProbability
386
251
Can EU companies charge 14% exchange rates fee for euro transactions? Resolution as soon as outcome is known. ADD yours
Dec 11, 11:22 PMMay 4, 10:11 PM
437
OptionProbability
31
21
16
16
16
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