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Top stories

Xiaomi Profit Surges on EV Momentum, Targets Europe Launch in 2027

Company Earnings

Xiaomi Profit Surges on EV Momentum, Targets Europe Launch in 2027

Authors

29

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Smart

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

87.15%chance

404338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1984

682

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3633

1265

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.7%chance

313019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

838

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65%chance

182185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1448

632

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Jul 12, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

242014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

546

By 2028, will any coding copilot look more like "pairing with an LLM" than "smart autocomplete"?

Oct 5, 4:35 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

9376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

386

144

Will Apple announce a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2026?

May 9, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

15339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?

Apr 1, 7:29 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7258

OptionProbability

Executes a synchronized dance routine.

Completes an agility obstacle course within a set time.

Solves a Rubik's Cube in under 30 seconds.

Shoots and scores from the free-throw line.

Drives a car.

Hits a dartboard bullseye.

Performs CPR on a mannequin/human.

Prepares a gourmet dish.

Replicates a complex origami figure.

Kill a human

Plays a specific song on an instrument accurately after one listening.

Assembles a furniture that hadn't seen, by reading the manual.

Executes an Olympic-standard perfect dive.

87

73

70

68

66

61

55

54

50

50

46

46

34

Before 2033 will the expert consensus be that formal methods are the best way to avoid $million smart contract exploits?

Apr 25, 5:18 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

87.57%chance

4175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

54

Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?

Mar 4, 1:34 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11140

OptionProbability

Tesla-Boston Dynamics-Sanctuary-LimX

Figure-Agility-Apptronik-Agibot

Unitree-UBTech-1X-MagicLab

Fourier-Kepler-Xiaomi-Xpeng

60

28

7

5

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

65.02%chance

9125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

119

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Mar 29, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

5

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