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Prediction markets for SMIC

Which will be the 3 largest chip manufacturers in 2030?

Mar 5, 12:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20827

OptionProbability

TSMC

Intel

Samsung

SMIC

UMC

SK Hynix

GlobalFoundries

Micron

87

84

75

33

20

19

14

10

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.8%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

905

Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?

Jun 5, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

10.5%chance

15419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

Jun 12, 7:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

15.39%chance

6204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

71

[France] Provided reforms inspired by the new Front Populaire, will unemployment reach 1981's level?

Jul 9, 4:23 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

52.26%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

96

Will Liang Mong-Song work at a semiconductor company other than SMIC within the next 5 years?

Sep 3, 12:27 AMSep 3, 10:59 PM

55.85%chance

550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

111

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