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Prediction markets for SMIC
OptionProbability
92
84
75
33
20
19
14
10
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
15.37%chance
12767
OptionVotes
1486
853
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
Jun 12, 7:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
11.64%chance
7254
OptionVotes
268
63
Number of H100 equivalent chips (by Flops) Huawei will make in year 2026
May 2, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1200
OptionProbability
86
2
2
2
2
2
2
[France] Provided reforms inspired by the new Front Populaire, will unemployment reach 1981's level?
Jul 9, 4:23 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM
52.26%chance
4105
OptionVotes
105
96
Will Liang Mong-Song work at a semiconductor company other than SMIC within the next 5 years?
Sep 3, 12:27 AMSep 3, 10:59 PM
55.85%chance
550
OptionVotes
129
111
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