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Prediction markets for SMIC
OptionProbability
87
84
75
33
20
19
14
10
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
18.8%chance
11517
OptionVotes
1236
905
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
Jun 12, 7:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
15.39%chance
6204
OptionVotes
218
71
[France] Provided reforms inspired by the new Front Populaire, will unemployment reach 1981's level?
Jul 9, 4:23 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM
52.26%chance
4105
OptionVotes
105
96
Will Liang Mong-Song work at a semiconductor company other than SMIC within the next 5 years?
Sep 3, 12:27 AMSep 3, 10:59 PM
55.85%chance
550
OptionVotes
129
111
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